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Toss-up · 2020 House
North Carolina House
In the 2020 North Carolina House race, Richard Hudson (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+6.6
Final polls said
D+0.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | brilliant corners Research & Strategies | R+2.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+3.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 71% | 0.084 | ✓ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 66% | 0.116 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Economist | Rep 61% | 0.150 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 61% | 0.155 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 61% | 0.156 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2020-10-0510
brilliant corners Research & Strategies2020-09-285
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 North Carolina House race?
Richard Hudson (R) won, by about 6.6 points (R+6.6).
When was the 2020 North Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2020.