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Toss-up · 2020 House
North Carolina House
In the 2020 North Carolina House race, Richard Hudson (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+6.6
Final polls said
D+0.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | brilliant corners Research & Strategies | R+2.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+3.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 71% | 0.084 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 66% | 0.116 | ✓ |
| 6 | The Economist | Rep 61% | 0.150 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 61% | 0.155 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2020-10-0510
brilliant corners Research & Strategies2020-09-285
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 North Carolina House race?
Richard Hudson (R) won, by about 6.6 points (R+6.6).
When was the 2020 North Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.