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Toss-up · 2020 House
New York House
In the 2020 New York House race, Nicole Malliotakis (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.3
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marist College | R+2.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 53% | 0.217 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 52% | 0.270 | ✗ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 58% | 0.334 | ✗ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 58% | 0.336 | ✗ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 74% | 0.547 | ✗ |
| 7 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Marist College2020-10-201
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 New York House race?
Nicole Malliotakis (R) won, by about 6.3 points (R+6.3).
When was the 2020 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2020.