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Toss-up · 2020 House
Ohio House
In the 2020 Ohio House race, Steve Chabot (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.2
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Change Research | R+2.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 74% | 0.066 | ✓ |
| 2 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 68% | 0.102 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 66% | 0.116 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Rep 61% | 0.155 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 58% | 0.176 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 7 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2020-10-315
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Ohio House race?
Steve Chabot (R) won, by about 7.2 points (R+7.2).
When was the 2020 Ohio House election held?
It was held in November 2020.