← all past elections
Toss-up · 2020 House
Ohio House
In the 2020 Ohio House race, Mike Turner (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+16.7
Final polls said
R+4.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+4.0 | 12.7 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 95% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 79% | 0.045 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 72% | 0.079 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2020-10-1713
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2020-09-2810
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Ohio House race?
Mike Turner (R) won, by about 16.7 points (R+16.7).
When was the 2020 Ohio House election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.