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Toss-up · 2020 House
Ohio House
In the 2020 Ohio House race, Troy Balderson (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+13.5
Final polls said
R+4.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | R+4.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 94% | 0.004 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 93% | 0.005 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 91% | 0.009 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 89% | 0.012 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 85% | 0.023 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2020-10-149
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Ohio House race?
Troy Balderson (R) won, by about 13.5 points (R+13.5).
When was the 2020 Ohio House election held?
It was held in November 2020.