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Toss-up · 2020 House
Oklahoma House
In the 2020 Oklahoma House race, Stephanie Bice (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+4.1
Final polls said
R+0.9
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | R+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Amber Integrated | R+4.5 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Change Research | EVEN | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | SoonerPoll.com | D+1.8 | 5.9 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 62% | 0.142 | ✓ |
| 2 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 54% | 0.211 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 53% | 0.221 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 51% | 0.260 | ✗ |
| 6 | The Economist | Dem 58% | 0.338 | ✗ |
| 7 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2020-10-314
Amber Integrated2020-10-240
SoonerPoll.com2020-10-176
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates2020-09-270
SoonerPoll.com2020-09-064
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Oklahoma House race?
Stephanie Bice (R) won, by about 4.1 points (R+4.1).
When was the 2020 Oklahoma House election held?
It was held in November 2020.