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Toss-up · 2020 House
South Carolina House
In the 2020 South Carolina House race, Nancy Mace (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.3
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strategic National | R+2.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+13.0 | 14.3 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 57% | 0.182 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 64% | 0.410 | ✗ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 66% | 0.436 | ✗ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 72% | 0.520 | ✗ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 72% | 0.524 | ✗ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 7 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Strategic National2020-10-151
GQR2020-10-0614
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 South Carolina House race?
Nancy Mace (R) won, by about 1.3 points (R+1.3).
When was the 2020 South Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2020.