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Toss-up · 2020 House
Texas House
In the 2020 Texas House race, Chip Roy (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+6.6
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+5.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 71% | 0.084 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 68% | 0.102 | ✓ |
| 4 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 67% | 0.108 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Economist | Rep 52% | 0.234 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 56% | 0.312 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
WPA Intelligence2020-10-112
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Texas House race?
Chip Roy (R) won, by about 6.6 points (R+6.6).
When was the 2020 Texas House election held?
It was held in November 2020.