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Toss-up · 2020 House
Utah House
In the 2020 Utah House race, Burgess Owens (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.0
Final polls said
D+4.5
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RMG Research | R+1.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lighthouse Research | D+10.5 | 11.5 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 52% | 0.235 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 54% | 0.292 | ✗ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 56% | 0.314 | ✗ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 67% | 0.442 | ✗ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 7 | The Economist | Dem 78% | 0.601 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RMG Research2020-10-140
RMG Research2020-09-095
Lighthouse Research2020-09-0612
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Utah House race?
Burgess Owens (R) won, by about 1.0 points (R+1.0).
When was the 2020 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2020.