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Toss-up · 2020 House
Virginia House
In the 2020 Virginia House race, Robert G. "Bob" Good (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.1
Final polls said
D+3.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+2.0 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 8.1 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 68% | 0.102 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Rep 65% | 0.121 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 52% | 0.233 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 51% | 0.240 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 63% | 0.391 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2020-10-218
Global Strategy Group2020-10-067
Global Strategy Group2020-09-298
Global Strategy Group2020-09-124
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Virginia House race?
Robert G. "Bob" Good (R) won, by about 5.1 points (R+5.1).
When was the 2020 Virginia House election held?
It was held in November 2020.