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Toss-up · 2020 House
Washington House
In the 2020 Washington House race, Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+13.0
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | R+2.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | R+2.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Economist | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 77% | 0.054 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 62% | 0.141 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2020-10-1911
GQR2020-09-2511
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Washington House race?
Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) won, by about 13.0 points (R+13.0).
When was the 2020 Washington House election held?
It was held in November 2020.