← all past elections
Toss-up · 2020 House
Washington House
In the 2020 Washington House race, Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+13.0
Final polls said
R+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | R+2.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | R+2.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Economist | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 70% | 0.091 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 62% | 0.141 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2020-10-1911
GQR2020-09-2511
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Washington House race?
Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) won, by about 13.0 points (R+13.0).
When was the 2020 Washington House election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.