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Toss-up · 2020 President
Illinois President
In the 2020 Illinois President race, Joe Biden (D) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
D+17.0
Final polls said
D+14.7
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research Co. | D+17.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | D+18.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Victory Research | D+15.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Swayable | D+11.5 | 5.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Race to the WH | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2020-10-310
Swayable2020-10-295
Victory Research2020-10-291
SurveyMonkey2020-10-261
Swayable2020-10-256
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Illinois President race?
Joe Biden (D) won, by about 17.0 points (D+17.0).
When was the 2020 Illinois President election held?
It was held in November 2020.