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Toss-up · 2020 President
Louisiana President
In the 2020 Louisiana President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
R+18.6
Final polls said
R+22.1
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | R+18.2 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Swayable | R+17.5 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of New Orleans Survey Research Center | R+22.9 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | R+26.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Tyson Group | R+6.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Race to the WH | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Swayable2020-10-271
SurveyMonkey2020-10-267
University of New Orleans Survey Research Center2020-10-224
SurveyMonkey2020-10-061
Trafalgar Group2020-10-050
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Louisiana President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 18.6 points (R+18.6).
When was the 2020 Louisiana President election held?
It was held in November 2020.