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Toss-up · 2020 President
Mississippi President
In the 2020 Mississippi President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+16.6
Final polls said
R+17.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Data for Progress | R+14.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Civiqs | R+14.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyMonkey | R+24.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Race to the WH | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 12 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 92% | 0.006 | ✓ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Data for Progress2020-10-293
SurveyMonkey2020-10-267
Civiqs2020-10-253
SurveyMonkey2020-10-064
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Mississippi President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 16.6 points (R+16.6).
When was the 2020 Mississippi President election held?
It was held in November 2020.