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Toss-up · 2020 President
Oregon President
In the 2020 Oregon President race, Joe Biden (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+16.1
Final polls said
D+21.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Civiqs | D+17.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | D+20.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | DHM Research | D+12.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Swayable | D+23.2 | 7.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Race to the WH | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Swayable2020-10-277
SurveyMonkey2020-10-264
SurveyMonkey2020-10-067
Civiqs2020-09-281
DHM Research2020-09-054
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Oregon President race?
Joe Biden (D) won, by about 16.1 points (D+16.1).
When was the 2020 Oregon President election held?
It was held in November 2020.