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Toss-up · 2020 President
South Dakota President
In the 2020 South Dakota President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
R+26.2
Final polls said
R+17.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+27.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Nielson Brothers Polling | R+15.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+11.0 | 15.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Race to the WH | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 13 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Nielson Brothers Polling2020-10-2611
SurveyMonkey2020-10-261
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2020-10-2015
SurveyMonkey2020-10-0618
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 South Dakota President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 26.2 points (R+26.2).
When was the 2020 South Dakota President election held?
It was held in November 2020.