Toss-up · 2020 President

Tennessee President

In the 2020 Tennessee President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 23 points.

Actual result

R+23.2

Final polls said

R+12.8

2 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Swayable	R+16.7	6.5	✓
2	SurveyMonkey	R+9.0	14.2	✓

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	CNalysis	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
2	Cook Political	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
3	The Economist	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
4	Elections Daily	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
5	Inside Elections	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
6	JHK Forecasts	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
7	Race to the WH	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
8	RealClearPolitics	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
9	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
10	VotePredictor Elections	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
11	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Rep 97%	0.001	✓
12	FiveThirtyEight	Rep 97%	0.001	✓
13	Princeton Election Consortium	Rep 96%	0.002	✓