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Toss-up · 2020 President
Utah President
In the 2020 Utah President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+20.5
Final polls said
R+9.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+12.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | RMG Research | R+12.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Y2 Analytics | R+7.0 | 13.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Race to the WH | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 8 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 92% | 0.006 | ✓ |
| 9 | CNalysis | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 10 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 11 | Inside Elections | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 12 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 13 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2020-10-268
Y2 Analytics2020-10-1913
RMG Research2020-10-148
SurveyMonkey2020-10-0512
Y2 Analytics2020-09-3010
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Utah President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 20.5 points (R+20.5).
When was the 2020 Utah President election held?
It was held in November 2020.