Toss-up · 2020 President

Utah President

In the 2020 Utah President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 20 points.

Actual result

R+20.5

Final polls said

R+9.5

2 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	SurveyMonkey	R+12.0	8.5	✓
2	RMG Research	R+12.0	8.5	✓
3	Y2 Analytics	R+7.0	13.5	✓

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	The Economist	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
2	Elections Daily	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
3	JHK Forecasts	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
4	Princeton Election Consortium	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
5	Race to the WH	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
6	VotePredictor Elections	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
7	FiveThirtyEight	Rep 95%	0.003	✓
8	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Rep 92%	0.006	✓
9	CNalysis	Rep 90%	0.010	✓
10	Cook Political	Rep 90%	0.010	✓
11	Inside Elections	Rep 90%	0.010	✓
12	RealClearPolitics	Rep 90%	0.010	✓
13	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Rep 90%	0.010	✓