Toss-up · 2020 President

Wisconsin President

In the 2020 Wisconsin President race, Joe Biden (D) won by less than a point.

Actual result

D+0.6

Final polls said

D+7.4

29 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Trafalgar Group	D+0.4	0.2	✓
2	AtlasIntel	D+1.9	1.3	✓
3	Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.	D+3.0	2.4	✓
4	Civiqs	D+4.0	3.4	✓
5	Marquette University Law School	D+5.0	4.4	✓
6	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research	D+5.0	4.4	✓
7	Latino Decisions	D+5.0	4.4	✓
8	RMG Research	D+6.0	5.4	✓
9	Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute	D+6.7	6.1	✓
10	Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group	D+7.0	6.4	✓
11	Emerson College	D+7.3	6.7	✓
12	Change Research	D+8.0	7.4	✓
13	Research Co.	D+8.0	7.4	✓
14	SSRS	D+8.0	7.4	✓
15	OnMessage Inc.	D+8.3	7.7	✓
16	YouGov	D+9.0	8.4	✓
17	Swayable	D+9.7	9.1	✓
18	Ipsos	D+10.0	9.4	✓
19	SurveyMonkey	D+10.0	9.4	✓
20	David Binder Research	D+10.0	9.4	✓
21	Marist College	D+10.0	9.4	✓
22	The New York Times/Siena College	D+11.0	10.4	✓
23	Gravis Marketing	D+11.0	10.4	✓
24	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	D+12.0	11.4	✓
25	Morning Consult	D+13.3	12.7	✓
26	ABC News/The Washington Post	D+17.0	16.4	✓

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	The Economist	Dem 98%	0.000	✓
2	Race to the WH	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
3	JHK Forecasts	Dem 96%	0.002	✓
4	Princeton Election Consortium	Dem 95%	0.003	✓
5	FiveThirtyEight	Dem 94%	0.004	✓
6	VotePredictor Elections	Dem 91%	0.008	✓
7	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Dem 78%	0.048	✓
8	CNalysis	Dem 75%	0.062	✓
9	Cook Political	Dem 75%	0.062	✓
10	Elections Daily	Dem 75%	0.062	✓
11	Inside Elections	Dem 75%	0.062	✓
12	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Dem 75%	0.062	✓
13	RealClearPolitics	Dem 50%	0.250	—