Toss-up · 2020 President

West Virginia President

In the 2020 West Virginia President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 39 points.

Actual result

R+38.9

Final polls said

R+27.6

2 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	SurveyMonkey	R+35.0	3.9	✓
2	American Pulse Research & Polling	R+20.1	18.8	✓
3	Repass	R+14.0	24.9	✓

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	CNalysis	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
2	Cook Political	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
3	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Rep 98%	0.000	✓
4	The Economist	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
5	Elections Daily	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
6	FiveThirtyEight	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
7	Inside Elections	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
8	JHK Forecasts	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
9	Race to the WH	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
10	RealClearPolitics	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
11	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
12	VotePredictor Elections	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
13	Princeton Election Consortium	Rep 95%	0.003	✓