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Toss-up · 2020 President
West Virginia President
In the 2020 West Virginia President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 39 points.
Actual result
R+38.9
Final polls said
R+27.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+35.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Pulse Research & Polling | R+20.1 | 18.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Repass | R+14.0 | 24.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Race to the WH | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2020-10-264
American Pulse Research & Polling2020-10-1919
SurveyMonkey2020-10-065
Repass2020-10-0325
American Pulse Research & Polling2020-09-2921
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 West Virginia President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 38.9 points (R+38.9).
When was the 2020 West Virginia President election held?
It was held in November 2020.