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Toss-up · 2020 Senate
Arkansas Senate
In the 2020 Arkansas Senate race, Tom Cotton (R) won with 66.5% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+33.1.
Actual result
D+33.1
Final polls said
D+55.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hendrix College | D+35.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | D+55.0 | 21.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+11.0 | 22.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2020-10-1522
Hendrix College2020-10-122
American Research Group2020-10-0822
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Arkansas Senate race?
Tom Cotton (R) won, with 66.5% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+33.1, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2020 Arkansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2020.