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Toss-up · 2022 House
Colorado House
In the 2022 Colorado House race, Lauren Boebert (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.2
Final polls said
D+1.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keating Research | R+2.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Center Street PAC | D+5.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 96% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 7 | The Economist | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 8 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 9 | Race to the WH | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fox News | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 11 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 12 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 68% | 0.100 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Center Street PAC2022-10-035
Keating Research2022-09-302
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Colorado House race?
Lauren Boebert (R) won, by about 0.2 points (R+0.2).
When was the 2022 Colorado House election held?
It was held in November 2022.