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Toss-up · 2022 House
Georgia House
In the 2022 Georgia House race, Sanford Bishop (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+3.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | D+3.9 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | InsiderAdvantage | D+3.3 | 6.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 3 | Race to the WH | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 5 | CNalysis | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 7 | Elections Daily | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 8 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 84% | 0.026 | ✓ |
| 10 | The Economist | Dem 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 11 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 81% | 0.036 | ✓ |
| 12 | Fox News | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 14 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
InsiderAdvantage2022-10-177
Trafalgar Group2022-10-156
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Georgia House race?
Sanford Bishop (D) won, by about 9.9 points (D+9.9).
When was the 2022 Georgia House election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.