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Toss-up · 2022 House
Georgia House
In the 2022 Georgia House race, Sanford Bishop (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+3.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | D+3.9 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | InsiderAdvantage | D+3.3 | 6.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 3 | Race to the WH | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 5 | CNalysis | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 7 | Elections Daily | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 8 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | The Economist | Dem 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 10 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 81% | 0.036 | ✓ |
| 11 | Fox News | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 12 | Split Ticket | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 13 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 69% | 0.097 | ✓ |
| 14 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
InsiderAdvantage2022-10-177
Trafalgar Group2022-10-156
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Georgia House race?
Sanford Bishop (D) won, by about 9.9 points (D+9.9).
When was the 2022 Georgia House election held?
It was held in November 2022.