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Toss-up · 2022 House
North Dakota House
In the 2022 North Dakota House race, Kelly Armstrong (R) won with 62.2% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+24.6.
Actual result
D+24.6
Final polls said
D+14.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Axis Research | D+22.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | 1892 Polling | D+17.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | DFM Research | D+4.0 | 20.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DFM Research2022-09-2021
Axis Research2022-09-183
1892 Polling2022-09-118
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 North Dakota House race?
Kelly Armstrong (R) won, with 62.2% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+24.6, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2022 North Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2022.