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Toss-up · 2022 House
Nevada House
In the 2022 Nevada House race, Dina Titus (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.6
Final polls said
R+5.8
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New York Times/Siena College | EVEN | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Emerson College | R+11.6 | 17.2 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 3 | Split Ticket | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 4 | Inside Elections | Dem 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 5 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 59% | 0.168 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 53% | 0.221 | ✓ |
| 7 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 8 | Fox News | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 9 | The Economist | Rep 59% | 0.348 | ✗ |
| 10 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 63% | 0.397 | ✗ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 12 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 13 | Race to the WH | Rep 77% | 0.593 | ✗ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 83% | 0.696 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-2817
The New York Times/Siena College2022-10-206
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Nevada House race?
Dina Titus (D) won, by about 5.6 points (D+5.6).
When was the 2022 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2022.