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Toss-up · 2022 House
Nevada House
In the 2022 Nevada House race, Dina Titus (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.6
Final polls said
R+5.8
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New York Times/Siena College | EVEN | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Emerson College | R+11.6 | 17.2 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CNalysis | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 3 | Split Ticket | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 4 | Inside Elections | Dem 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 5 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 59% | 0.168 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 57% | 0.182 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 53% | 0.221 | ✓ |
| 8 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 9 | Fox News | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 10 | The Economist | Rep 59% | 0.348 | ✗ |
| 11 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 63% | 0.397 | ✗ |
| 12 | Elections Daily | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 13 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 14 | Race to the WH | Rep 77% | 0.593 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-2817
The New York Times/Siena College2022-10-206
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Nevada House race?
Dina Titus (D) won, by about 5.6 points (D+5.6).
When was the 2022 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.