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Toss-up · 2022 House
Nevada House
In the 2022 Nevada House race, Susie Lee (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.0
Final polls said
R+4.2
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+4.2 | 8.2 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 64% | 0.129 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 61% | 0.152 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Dem 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 59% | 0.168 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 6 | Race to the WH | Rep 51% | 0.260 | ✗ |
| 7 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 52% | 0.270 | ✗ |
| 8 | CNalysis | Rep 60% | 0.360 | ✗ |
| 9 | Elections Daily | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 10 | Fox News | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 11 | RealClearPolitics | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 12 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 75% | 0.563 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-288
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Nevada House race?
Susie Lee (D) won, by about 4.0 points (D+4.0).
When was the 2022 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2022.