← all past elections
Toss-up · 2024 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2024 New Hampshire House race, Maggie Goodlander (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+6.0
Final polls said
D+17.5
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Anselm College | D+8.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire | D+14.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Dartmouth Poll | D+30.5 | 24.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | The Economist | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Split Ticket | Dem 93% | 0.005 | ✓ |
| 10 | Race to the WH | Dem 93% | 0.005 | ✓ |
| 11 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 12 | Elections Daily | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 13 | Fox News | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 14 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Dartmouth Poll2024-11-0225
University of New Hampshire2024-10-318
Saint Anselm College2024-10-282
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 New Hampshire House race?
Maggie Goodlander (D) won, by about 6.0 points (D+6.0).
When was the 2024 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2024.