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Toss-up · 2024 House
US House
In the 2024 US House race, the Republican (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+2.8
Final polls said
R+0.2
34 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasmussen Reports | R+3.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | J.L. Partners | R+3.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | SSRS | R+3.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO | R+4.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gravis Marketing/Kaplan Strategies | R+1.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | OnMessage Inc. | R+1.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Echelon Insights | R+1.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | OH Predictive Insights | R+1.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | Cygnal | R+0.1 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | Harris Insights & Analytics | EVEN | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research | EVEN | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 12 | The New York Times/Siena College | EVEN | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 13 | Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies | D+1.0 | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 14 | Paradigm | D+1.0 | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 15 | Emerson College | D+1.1 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | Suffolk University | D+1.3 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 17 | John Zogby Strategies | D+1.4 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 18 | Marist College | D+2.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 19 | American Pulse Research & Polling | D+2.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 20 | Monmouth University | D+2.0 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 21 | Targoz Market Research | D+3.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 22 | YouGov | D+3.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 23 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+3.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
34 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
John Zogby Strategies2024-11-024
Rasmussen Reports2024-11-010
Marist College2024-11-015
Harris Insights & Analytics2024-10-313
Gravis Marketing/Kaplan Strategies2024-10-312
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 US House race?
the Republican (R) won, by about 2.8 points (R+2.8).
When was the 2024 US House election held?
It was held in November 2024.