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Toss-up · 2024 President
Maine President
In the 2024 Maine President race, the Republican (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.6
Final polls said
R+6.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Axis Research | R+9.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of New Hampshire | R+4.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 95% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 90% | 0.009 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | CNalysis | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 7 | Fox News | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 8 | Elections Daily | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 9 | Race to the WH | Rep 88% | 0.014 | ✓ |
| 10 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 87% | 0.017 | ✓ |
| 11 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 87% | 0.018 | ✓ |
| 12 | Split Ticket | Rep 81% | 0.036 | ✓ |
| 13 | Silver Bulletin | Rep 76% | 0.056 | ✓ |
| 14 | Inside Elections | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire2024-10-316
SurveyUSA2024-10-265
Axis Research2024-10-181
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Maine President race?
the Republican (R) won, by about 9.6 points (R+9.6).
When was the 2024 Maine President election held?
It was held in November 2024.