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Toss-up · 2024 Senate
Maine Senate
In the 2024 Maine Senate race, the Democratic-Republican margin was D+17.5. This was not a two-party contest, so that margin does not identify the winner and VotePredictor does not name one.
Actual result
D+17.5
Final polls said
D+20.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire | D+15.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+26.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire2024-10-313
SurveyUSA2024-10-269
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Maine Senate race?
VotePredictor does not publish a winner for this race. It tracks the two-party Democratic-Republican margin, which was D+17.5, and this was not a two-party contest — so that margin does not identify the winner.
When was the 2024 Maine Senate election held?
It was held in November 2024.