← all past elections
Toss-up · 2024 Senate
Minnesota Senate
In the 2024 Minnesota Senate race, Amy Klobuchar (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+15.7
Final polls said
D+13.7
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research Co. | D+17.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Blueprint Polling | D+17.2 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Change Research | D+11.7 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | AtlasIntel | D+11.4 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | D+11.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Split Ticket | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Race to the WH | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | The Economist | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
AtlasIntel2024-11-024
Research Co.2024-11-021
Blueprint Polling2024-10-291
Rasmussen Reports2024-10-255
Change Research2024-10-194
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Minnesota Senate race?
Amy Klobuchar (D) won, by about 15.7 points (D+15.7).
When was the 2024 Minnesota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2024.