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Toss-up · 2024 Senate
Nebraska Senate
In the 2024 Nebraska Senate race, the Democratic-Republican margin was R+6.8. This was not a two-party contest, so that margin does not identify the winner and VotePredictor does not name one.
Actual result
R+6.8
Final polls said
R+5.5
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+7.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Torchlight Strategies | R+7.7 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+2.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Change Research | EVEN | 6.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2024-10-307
Torchlight Strategies2024-10-261
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-245
YouGov2024-10-240
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-247
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Nebraska Senate race?
VotePredictor does not publish a winner for this race. It tracks the two-party Democratic-Republican margin, which was R+6.8, and this was not a two-party contest — so that margin does not identify the winner.
When was the 2024 Nebraska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2024.