VotePredictor

Lookbacks

Forecasts are re-run every day. While an event is live, its trajectory updates; the moment it's decided — an election is called, the Court rules — the trajectory freezes and moves here, so you can always check whether the forecast was approaching the truth or drifting from it.

Supreme Court — decided cases

Each case's prediction path (VotePredictor SCOTUS, the FantasySCOTUS crowd, and the track-record-weighted consensus) up to the day the Court ruled. The 3 still-pending cases are accruing daily points on the SCOTUS page and will freeze here when decided.

Barrett v. United States
Criminal Procedure · No. 24-5774
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 75% petitioner · model 72% · crowd 76%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Bost v. Illinois State Board of Elections
Judicial Power · No. 24-568
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 76% petitioner · model 69% · crowd 79%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Bowe v. United States
Criminal Procedure · No. 24-5438
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 65% petitioner · model 73% · crowd 61%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Chevron USA v. Plaquemines Parish
Judicial Power · No. 24-813
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 66% petitioner · model 55% · crowd 72%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Chiles v. Salazar
First Amendment · No. 24-539
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 68% petitioner · model 59% · crowd 73%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Cisco Systems v. Doe I
Civil Rights · No. 24-856
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 80% petitioner · model 94% · crowd 74%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Cox Communications v. Sony Music
Economic Activity · No. 24-171
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 90% petitioner · model 82% · crowd 94%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Exxon Mobil v. Corporacion Cimex
Judicial Power · No. 24-699
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 64% petitioner · model 72% · crowd 61%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

FCC v. AT&T
Economic Activity · No. 25-406
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 67% petitioner · model 62% · crowd 70%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

First Choice Women's Resource Centers v. Platkin
First Amendment · No. 24-781
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 87% petitioner · model 72% · crowd 94%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Galette v. New Jersey Transit
Federalism · No. 24-1021
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 50% petitioner · model 46% · crowd 51%✗ called wrong

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Havana Docks v. Royal Caribbean
Economic Activity · No. 24-983
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 67% petitioner · model 85% · crowd 60%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Hencely v. Fluor
Economic Activity · No. 24-924
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 62% petitioner · model 56% · crowd 64%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Hikma Pharmaceuticals v. Amarin
Economic Activity · No. 24-889
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 81% petitioner · model 58% · crowd 93%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections
First Amendment · No. 23-1197
Outcome: respondent wonfinal consensus 59% petitioner · model 78% · crowd 48%✗ called wrong

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Learning Resources v. Trump
Economic Activity · No. 24-1287
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 59% petitioner · model 62% · crowd 57%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Louisiana v. Callais
Civil Rights · No. 24-110
Outcome: respondent wonfinal consensus 50% petitioner · model 66% · crowd 41%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Monsanto v. Durnell
Economic Activity · No. 24-1068
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 59% petitioner · model 77% · crowd 52%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Noem v. Al Otro Lado
Civil Rights · No. 25-5
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 69% petitioner · model 72% · crowd 68%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Olivier v. City of Brandon
First Amendment · No. 24-993
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 86% petitioner · model 83% · crowd 88%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

T.M. v. University of Maryland Medical System
Judicial Power · No. 25-197
Outcome: respondent wonfinal consensus 66% petitioner · model 67% · crowd 65%✗ called wrong

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

USPS v. Konan
Judicial Power · No. 24-351
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 54% petitioner · model 50% · crowd 55%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Villarreal v. Texas
Criminal Procedure · No. 24-557
Outcome: respondent wonfinal consensus 39% petitioner · model 77% · crowd 16%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Wolford v. Lopez
Civil Rights · No. 24-1046
Outcome: petitioner wonfinal consensus 69% petitioner · model 79% · crowd 64%✓ called right

Final forecast only — trajectory tracking began 2026-07-10, after this case was decided.

Elections — 2026

Every tracked race carries a "forecast over time" graph on its race page — VotePredictor Elections re-run from the polls available on each date, updated daily. On election night those trajectories freeze in place and the decided races will be collected here, next to the actual results. For outcome-level history from earlier cycles (1998–2025), see past elections.