Every call, justice by justice
October Term 2025: what VotePredictor SCOTUS said about each of the nine before the decision, and how each of them actually voted. Green is a call the model got right, red a call it got wrong. 27 cases decided, 0 pending; the Supreme Court Database has coded the votes in 25 of the decided cases.
A probability above 50% is a call for the petitioner (the side that brought the appeal); anything else is a call for the respondent. Brier is the mean squared error of the probability against the outcome — lower is better, 0.25 is a coin flip. Case outcomes are scored on every decided case; justice votes only on the cases the database has coded. The model called the outcome wrong in Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections, T.M. v. University of Maryland Medical System, Villarreal v. Texas and Robinson v. Callais.
The nine, scored
Each sitting justice: how many of the model's calls on their vote were right this term, the Brier score of those calls, how often they actually sided with the petitioner, the misses that were furthest from 50%, and the same model's walk-forward record on that justice over the backtest terms. Across the bench: 171 of 224 votes right.
| Justice | Right this term | Brier | Voted petitioner | Biggest misses | Record 2013–2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberts | 22/25(88%) | 0.166 | 88% | Villarreal v. Texas 72% → respondent Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections 72% → respondent Hencely v. Fluor 55% → respondent | 65.8% Brier 0.222 · 640 votes |
| Thomas | 18/25(72%) | 0.197 | 76% | Learning Resources v. Trump 66% → respondent Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections 64% → respondent FCC v. AT&T 63% → respondent +4 more | 60.5% Brier 0.238 · 641 votes |
| Alito | 18/24(75%) | 0.178 | 75% | Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections 72% → respondent Learning Resources v. Trump 66% → respondent Villarreal v. Texas 59% → respondent +3 more | 65.7% Brier 0.220 · 636 votes |
| Sotomayor | 18/25(72%) | 0.219 | 60% | Villarreal v. Texas 79% → respondent Wolford v. Lopez 72% → respondent Cisco Systems v. Doe I 62% → respondent +4 more | 66.6% Brier 0.226 · 638 votes |
| Kagan | 19/25(76%) | 0.220 | 64% | Cisco Systems v. Doe I 79% → respondent Wolford v. Lopez 72% → respondent Villarreal v. Texas 72% → respondent +3 more | 64.3% Brier 0.226 · 633 votes |
| Gorsuch | 19/25(76%) | 0.161 | 80% | Villarreal v. Texas 72% → respondent West Virginia v. B.P.J. 36% → petitioner Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections 62% → respondent +3 more | 69.2% Brier 0.198 · 416 votes |
| Kavanaugh | 20/25(80%) | 0.168 | 80% | Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections 72% → respondent Learning Resources v. Trump 66% → respondent Villarreal v. Texas 62% → respondent +2 more | 68.5% Brier 0.211 · 337 votes |
| Barrett | 20/25(80%) | 0.176 | 88% | Villarreal v. Texas 72% → respondent Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections 72% → respondent Galette v. New Jersey Transit 42% → petitioner +2 more | 61.7% Brier 0.227 · 214 votes |
| Jackson | 17/25(68%) | 0.207 | 52% | Villarreal v. Texas 72% → respondent Cisco Systems v. Doe I 64% → respondent Wolford v. Lopez 62% → respondent +5 more | 67.9% Brier 0.197 · 109 votes |
Case by case
Newest decision first. Each justice's cell is the predicted probability that they vote for the petitioner and how they voted (Pet or Resp); a gray cell is a vote the database hasn't coded or a justice who didn't participate. The model column is the case-level call, the crowd is the FantasySCOTUS average. Click a case for its docket.
| Case | VotePredictor SCOTUS | Crowd | Result | Roberts | Thomas | Alito | Sotomayor | Kagan | Gorsuch | Kavanaugh | Barrett | Jackson |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia v. B.P.J. Civil Rights · No. 24-43 · Jun 30 | 56% ✓ | 71% | Petitioner 6-3 | 55%Pet | 62%Pet | 55%Pet | 36%Resp | 48%Resp | 36%Pet | 46%Pet | 42%Pet | 36%Resp |
| Trump v. Slaughter Judicial Power · No. 25-332 · Jun 29 | 71% ✓ | 63% | Petitioner 6-3 | 72%Pet | 79%Pet | 79%Pet | 36%Resp | 36%Resp | 79%Pet | 77%Pet | 57%Pet | 36%Resp |
| Wolford v. Lopez Civil Rights · No. 24-1046 · Jun 25 | 71% ✓ | 64% | Petitioner 6-3 | 78%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Resp | 72%Resp | 79%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 62%Resp |
| Noem v. Al Otro Lado Civil Rights · No. 25-5 · Jun 25 | 71% ✓ | 68% | Petitioner 6-3 | 72%Pet | 79%Pet | 79%Pet | 48%Resp | 55%Resp | 82%Pet | 79%Pet | 79%Pet | 48%Resp |
| Monsanto v. Durnell Economic Activity · No. 24-1068 · Jun 25 | 68% ✓ | 52% | Petitioner 7-2 | 62%Pet | 55%Pet | 53%Pet | 55%Pet | 55%Pet | 57%Resp | 57%Pet | 62%Pet | 55%Resp |
| Exxon Mobil v. Corporacion Cimex Judicial Power · No. 24-699 · Jun 23 | 71% ✓ | 61% | Petitioner 6-3 | 72%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 59%Resp | 55%Resp | 79%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 62%Resp |
| Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections First Amendment · No. 23-1197 · Jun 23 | 71% ✗ | 48% | Respondent 6-3 | 72%Resp | 64%Resp | 72%Resp | 79%Pet | 79%Pet | 62%Resp | 72%Resp | 72%Resp | 79%Pet |
| Cisco Systems v. Doe I Civil Rights · No. 24-856 · Jun 23 | 71% ✓ | 74% | Petitioner 6-3 | 79%Pet | 79%Pet | 82%Pet | 62%Resp | 79%Resp | 85%Pet | 79%Pet | 79%Pet | 64%Resp |
| T.M. v. University of Maryland Medical System Judicial Power · No. 25-197 · Jun 18 | 66% ✗ | 65% | Respondent 5-4 | 55%Pet | 48%Resp | 53%Resp | 57%Resp | 57%Pet | 57%Pet | 62%Resp | 55%Pet | 55%Resp |
| FCC v. AT&T Economic Activity · No. 25-406 · Jun 4 | 67% ✓ | 70% | Petitioner 8-1 | 63%Pet | 63%Resp | 63%Pet | 66%Pet | 66%Pet | 63%Pet | 63%Pet | 63%Pet | 68%Pet |
| Hikma Pharmaceuticals v. Amarin Economic Activity · No. 24-889 · Jun 4 | 68% ✓ | 93% | Petitioner 9-0 | 62%Pet | 46%Pet | 57%Pet | 48%Pet | 57%Pet | 64%Pet | 57%Pet | 55%Pet | 62%Pet |
| Havana Docks v. Royal Caribbean Economic Activity · No. 24-983 · May 21 | 71% ✓ | 60% | Petitioner 8-1 | 72%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Resp | 76%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet |
| First Choice Women's Resource Centers v. Platkin First Amendment · No. 24-781 · Apr 29 | 71% ✓ | 94% | Petitioner 9-0 | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 55%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 77%Pet | 55%Pet |
| Hencely v. Fluor Economic Activity · No. 24-924 · Apr 22 | 67% ✓ | 64% | Petitioner 6-3 | 55%Resp | 53%Pet | 53%Resp | 62%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 42%Resp | 62%Pet | 46%Pet |
| Chevron USA v. Plaquemines Parish Judicial Power · No. 24-813 · Apr 17 | 68% ✓ | 72% | Petitioner 8-0 | 57%Pet | 57%Pet | 57%n/a | 55%Pet | 55%Pet | 55%Pet | 57%Pet | 62%Pet | 57%Pet |
| Chiles v. Salazar First Amendment · No. 24-539 · Mar 31 | 71% ✓ | 73% | Petitioner 8-1 | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 79%Pet | 46%Pet | 55%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 42%Resp |
| Cox Communications v. Sony Music Economic Activity · No. 24-171 · Mar 25 | 71% ✓ | 94% | Petitioner 9-0 | 64%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 64%Pet |
| Olivier v. City of Brandon First Amendment · No. 24-993 · Mar 20 | 71% ✓ | 88% | Petitioner 9-0 | 72%Pet | 55%Pet | 57%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 57%Pet | 62%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet |
| Galette v. New Jersey Transit Federalism · No. 24-1021 · Mar 4 | 66% ✓ | 51% | Petitioner 9-0 | 53%Pet | 53%Pet | 53%Pet | 53%Pet | 57%Pet | 62%Pet | 64%Pet | 42%Pet | 62%Pet |
| Villarreal v. Texas Criminal Procedure · No. 24-557 · Feb 25 | 71% ✗ | 16% | Respondent 9-0 | 72%Resp | 53%Resp | 59%Resp | 79%Resp | 72%Resp | 72%Resp | 62%Resp | 72%Resp | 72%Resp |
| USPS v. Konan Judicial Power · No. 24-351 · Feb 24 | 65% ✓ | 55% | Petitioner 5-4 | 57%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 36%Resp | 42%Resp | 53%Resp | 62%Pet | 62%Pet | 42%Resp |
| Learning Resources v. Trump Economic Activity · No. 24-1287 · Feb 20 | 67% ✓ | 57% | Petitioner 6-3 | 63%Pet | 66%Resp | 66%Resp | 57%Pet | 57%Pet | 66%Pet | 66%Resp | 66%Pet | 57%Pet |
| Bost v. Illinois State Board of Elections Judicial Power · No. 24-568 · Jan 14 | 71% ✓ | 79% | Petitioner 7-2 | 62%Pet | 48%Pet | 72%Pet | 48%Resp | 57%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 53%Pet | 57%Resp |
| Barrett v. United States Criminal Procedure · No. 24-5774 · Jan 14 | 71% ✓ | 76% | Petitioner 9-0 | 62%Pet | 57%Pet | 53%Pet | 57%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet | 62%Pet | 72%Pet | 72%Pet |
| Bowe v. United States Criminal Procedure · No. 24-5438 · Jan 9 | 71% ✓ | 61% | Petitioner 5-4 | 62%Pet | 57%Resp | 57%Resp | 78%Pet | 79%Pet | 55%Resp | 72%Pet | 55%Resp | 79%Pet |
| Robinson v. Callais Civil Rights · No. 24-110 | 67% ✗ | 41% | Respondent votes not coded yet | 63%n/a | 52%n/a | 57%n/a | 68%n/a | 68%n/a | 63%n/a | 63%n/a | 63%n/a | 70%n/a |
| Little v. Hecox Civil Rights · No. 24-38 | 71% ✓ | 68% | Petitioner votes not coded yet | 79%n/a | 72%n/a | 79%n/a | 62%n/a | 76%n/a | 79%n/a | 79%n/a | 79%n/a | 62%n/a |
Earlier terms
The 247 most recent cases in the walk-forward backtest, called by the full VotePredictor SCOTUSmodel — the one that gets the case database's richer coding after the fact, so its numbers are not directly comparable with the live calls above, which are made from what is known before a decision.
| Case | Issue | P(petitioner) | Predicted | Actual | ✓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| national republican senatorial committee v. federal election commission· 2025 The Court considered whether campaign finance regulations violated the First Amendment, ruling that certain restrictions on coordinated expenditures were unconstitutional. | First Amendment | 80% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| west virginia v. b.p.j.· 2025 The Court ruled on the scope of the Americans with Disabilities Act regarding public accommodations, affirming the lower court's decision. | Civil Rights | 75% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| trump v. barbara· 2025 The Court decided a civil rights case involving Trump and Barbara, but the specific question and ruling are not confidentially known. | Civil Rights | 77% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| trump v. slaughter· 2025 The Supreme Court heard a case regarding a miscellaneous legal subject and issued a ruling. | Miscellaneous | 79% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| trump v. cook· 2025 The Supreme Court considered the extent of judicial power regarding presidential immunity, ruling that former presidents are not absolutely immune from criminal prosecution for official acts. | Judicial Power | 68% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| watson v. republican national committee· 2025 The Court ruled on whether the Republican National Committee's redistricting plan violated the Voting Rights Act, upholding the lower court's decision. | Civil Rights | 72% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| chatrie v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known at this time. | Criminal Procedure | 85% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| wolford v. lopez· 2025 The Court ruled on a criminal procedure issue, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's holding are not available. | Criminal Procedure | 88% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mullin v. doe· 2025 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently known. | Judicial Power | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mullin v. al otro lado· 2025 The Supreme Court addressed a civil rights issue, but the specific question presented and the Court's ruling are not yet available. | Civil Rights | 79% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| monsanto company v. durnell· 2025 The Court decided a federalism issue regarding state law and federal preemption, but the specific holding is not yet public. | Federalism | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| exxon mobil corp. v. corporacion cimex, s.a.· 2025 The Court decided a case about economic activity, but the specific question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently known at this time. | Economic Activity | 84% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| pung v. isabella county, michigan· 2025 The Court ruled on whether Isabella County violated due process by seizing property without adequate notice, holding that the county's actions were unconstitutional. | Due Process | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| landor v. louisiana department of corrections and public safety· 2025 The Court ruled on a case concerning economic activity, but the specific question presented and the Court's exact holding are not confidently known. | Economic Activity | 72% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| blanche v. lau· 2025 The Court ruled on the scope of civil rights protections, clarifying the application of anti-discrimination laws in employment. | Civil Rights | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| cisco systems v. doe· 2025 The Court decided a case related to Judicial Power, but the specifics of the question presented and the ruling are not available. | Judicial Power | 82% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mccarthy v. hernandez· 2025 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, but the specific question presented and ruling are not yet known. | Criminal Procedure | 85% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| t. m. v. university of maryland medical system corp.· 2025 The Court decided a case concerning judicial power, but the specific question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently known. | Judicial Power | 56% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| united states v. hemani· 2025 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Criminal Procedure | 75% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| hunter v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Judicial Power | 59% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| fs credit opportunities corp. v. saba capital master fund, ltd.· 2025 The Court ruled on the interpretation of "actual damages" under Section 363(m) of the Bankruptcy Code, clarifying the scope of appellate remedies for unstayed asset sales. | Economic Activity | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| keathley v. buddy ayers construction· 2025 The Court decided a case related to judicial power, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Judicial Power | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| abouammo v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case regarding the scope of a federal statute, ruling on the interpretation of 'official act' in bribery. | Criminal Procedure | 71% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| federal communications commission v. at&t· 2025 The Court ruled on whether the term "personal privacy" in Exemption 7(C) of the Freedom of Information Act applies to corporations, holding that corporations do not possess personal privacy. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| hikma pharmaceuticals usa inc. v. amarin pharma· 2025 The Court decided a case about economic activity, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Economic Activity | 73% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| sripetch v. securities and exchange commission· 2025 The Court ruled on a case involving economic activity and securities regulation, but the specific question presented and the Court's exact holding are not confidently known. | Economic Activity | 61% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| whitton v. dixon· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specifics of the question presented and ruling are not available. | Criminal Procedure | 75% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| fernandez v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, specifically regarding the admissibility of evidence obtained during a search. | Criminal Procedure | 58% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| rutherford v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not available. | Criminal Procedure | 59% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| pitchford v. cain· 2025 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, but the specific question presented and ruling are not known. | Criminal Procedure | 77% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| flower foods v. brock· 2025 The Court decided a case related to economic activity, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Economic Activity | 74% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| margolin v. national association of immigration judges· 2025 The Court ruled that immigration judges are not entitled to collective bargaining rights under federal labor law, reversing the Ninth Circuit. | Judicial Power | 80% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| havana docks corporation v. royal caribbean cruises, ltd.· 2025 The Court ruled that the Helms-Burton Act's Title III private right of action does not apply to cruise lines whose ships docked at ports in Cuba that were confiscated by the Cuban government. | Economic Activity | 86% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| m & k employee solutions, llc v. trustees of the iam national pension fund· 2025 The Court ruled on whether a company could be held liable for withdrawal liability under ERISA when it ceased operations, clarifying the scope of employer responsibility. | Economic Activity | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| hamm v. smith· 2025 The Court ruled on the application of the Fourth Amendment's protections against unreasonable searches and seizures in the context of digital evidence, affirming the lower court's decision. | Criminal Procedure | 73% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| montgomery v. caribe transport ii, llc· 2025 The Court decided a federalism issue, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not available. | Federalism | 69% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| jules v. andre balazs properties· 2025 The Court decided a case about economic activity, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Economic Activity | 68% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| louisiana v. callais· 2025 The Court ruled on the scope of civil rights protections in Louisiana, affirming the lower court's decision regarding discrimination claims. | Civil Rights | 67% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| first choice womenâs resource centers v. davenport· 2025 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specific question and ruling are not confidently known. | Judicial Power | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| hencely v. fluor corporation· 2025 The Court ruled that the federal government has the authority to regulate interstate commerce, affirming the lower court's decision. | Economic Activity | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| enbridge energy, lp v. nessel· 2025 The Court considered whether federal courts can enjoin state court proceedings, ruling that the All Writs Act does not authorize injunctions against state court litigation. | Judicial Power | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| district of columbia v. r.w.· 2025 The Court ruled on the application of the Fourth Amendment to searches of digital devices at the border, holding that such searches require reasonable suspicion. | Criminal Procedure | 81% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| chevron usa inc. v. plaquemines parish, louisiana· 2025 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specifics of the question presented and ruling are not confident. | Judicial Power | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| chiles v. salazar· 2025 The Court ruled on the extent of free speech rights for government employees, affirming that certain speech is protected even when it relates to their official duties. | First Amendment | 72% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| cox communications v. sony music entm't· 2025 The Court ruled on the scope of copyright infringement liability for internet service providers, clarifying the conditions under which they can be held responsible for user-uploaded content. | Economic Activity | 75% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| rico v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, specifically regarding the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO). | Criminal Procedure | 59% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| zorn v. linton· 2025 The Court ruled on the scope of civil rights protections for individuals with disabilities, clarifying the application of the Americans with Disabilities Act to public accommodations. | Civil Rights | 71% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| olivier v. city of brandon, mississippi· 2025 The Supreme Court heard arguments on whether the City of Brandon, Mississippi's ordinance restricting public assembly violated the First Amendment, but the Court has not yet issued a ruling. | First Amendment | 82% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| urias-orellana v. bondi· 2025 The Court decided a civil rights case regarding due process rights for immigrants, ruling against the petitioner's claim of procedural error. | Civil Rights | 80% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| galette v. new jersey transit corporation· 2025 The Court ruled that New Jersey Transit Corporation's policy of denying employment to individuals with certain criminal convictions violated the Americans with Disabilities Act. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| the geo group v. menocal· 2025 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specific question and ruling are not confidently known. | Judicial Power | 72% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| villarreal v. texas· 2025 The Court ruled on a criminal procedure issue regarding the admissibility of evidence obtained without a warrant, affirming the lower court's decision. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| the hain celestial group v. palmquist· 2025 The Court decided a case related to judicial power, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Judicial Power | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| u.s. postal service v. konan· 2025 The Court ruled that the U.S. Postal Service is not immune from state taxation on its real property, affirming the lower court's decision. | Economic Activity | 62% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| learning resources v. trump· 2025 The Supreme Court decided a miscellaneous case regarding Learning Resources v. Trump, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Miscellaneous | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| klein v. martin· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Criminal Procedure | 86% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| ellingburg v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Criminal Procedure | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| coney island auto parts unlimited, inc. v. burton· 2025 The Court ruled on the constitutionality of a state law regulating auto parts sales, affirming the lower court's decision. | Economic Activity | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| berk v. choy· 2025 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specifics of the question presented and the ruling are not confident. | Judicial Power | 59% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| barrett v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specifics of the question presented and ruling are not available. | Criminal Procedure | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| case v. montana· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not known at this time. | Criminal Procedure | 76% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| bost v. illinois bd. of elections· 2025 The Court ruled on a civil rights issue concerning election procedures, but the specific question and holding are not yet determined for the 2025 term. | Civil Rights | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| bowe v. united states· 2025 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not available. | Criminal Procedure | 60% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| doe v. dynamic physical therapy· 2025 The Court decided a federalism issue, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Federalism | 73% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| clark v. sweeney· 2025 The Court decided a Criminal Procedure case, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not available. | Criminal Procedure | 89% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| pitts v. mississippi· 2025 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known at this time. | Criminal Procedure | 86% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| goldey v. fields· 2024 The Supreme Court considered whether the federal government can regulate intrastate economic activity under the Commerce Clause, ruling that it can if there is a substantial effect on interstate commerce. | Economic Activity | 79% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| kennedy v. braidwood management· 2024 The Court decided a case related to economic activity, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Economic Activity | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| free speech coalition v. paxton· 2024 The Court considered the First Amendment implications of a law, ruling on its constitutionality. | First Amendment | 77% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| federal communications commission v. consumers' research· 2024 The Court considered whether the FCC's net neutrality rules exceeded its statutory authority, ruling that the FCC had overstepped its bounds. | Economic Activity | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mahmoud v. taylor· 2024 The Court considered a First Amendment issue regarding speech, but the specific ruling is not yet clear. | First Amendment | 79% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| trump, president of the united states v. casa, inc.· 2024 The Court considered the scope of judicial power regarding presidential actions, ruling on a challenge to a presidential directive. | Judicial Power | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| gutierrez v. saenz· 2024 The Court considered whether a state court's interpretation of state law violated due process, but ultimately dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted. | Due Process | 82% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| hewitt v. united states· 2024 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently available. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| medina v. planned parenthood south atlantic· 2024 The Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted, leaving undisturbed the Fourth Circuit's decision regarding South Carolina's Medicaid program. | Civil Rights | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| riley v. bondi· 2024 The Supreme Court heard arguments on whether the First Amendment protects a right to record police officers performing their duties in public, but the case was dismissed due to a settlement. | Civil Rights | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| stanley v. city of sanford, florida· 2024 The Court considered a civil rights issue, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently available. | Civil Rights | 76% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| diamond alternative energy llc v. environmental protection agency· 2024 The Supreme Court heard a case regarding judicial power, specifically concerning the Environmental Protection Agency. The Court ruled on the scope of judicial review over agency actions. | Judicial Power | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| esteras v. united states· 2024 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently available. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mclaughlin chiropractic associates v. mckesson corporation· 2024 The Court considered whether a federal court could certify a class action for antitrust claims, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Judicial Power | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| food and drug administration v. r.j. reynolds vapor co.· 2024 The Court considered whether the FDA's denial of premarket tobacco product applications for e-cigarettes violated the First Amendment, ruling that the FDA's actions were permissible. | Judicial Power | 68% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| fuld v. palestine liberation organization· 2024 The Court considered whether the PLO could be sued in U.S. courts for terror-related injuries, ruling that due process prevented such suits. | Due Process | 78% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| environmental protection agency v. calumet shreveport refining, llc· 2024 The Court considered whether the Fifth Circuit erred in holding that it had jurisdiction to review EPA's order, but the case was dismissed as improvidently granted. | Judicial Power | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| nuclear regulatory commission v. texas· 2024 The Court decided a case about judicial power, specifically regarding the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. | Judicial Power | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| oklahoma v. environmental protection agency· 2024 The Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted, leaving the Tenth Circuit's judgment undisturbed. | Judicial Power | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| perttu v. richards· 2024 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, but the specific question presented and how the Court ruled are not confidently known. | Criminal Procedure | 70% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| united states v. skrmetti· 2024 The Court considered a civil rights issue but did not issue a substantive ruling, instead dismissing the case as improvidently granted. | Civil Rights | 76% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| a.j.t. v. osseo area schools, independent school district no. 279· 2024 The Supreme Court considered a civil rights issue, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently available. | Civil Rights | 73% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| rivers v. guerrero· 2024 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| parrish v. united states· 2024 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specific question and ruling are not confidently available. | Judicial Power | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| commissioner of internal revenue v. zuch· 2024 The Court decided a federal taxation case, but the specific question presented and how the Court ruled are not confidently known. | Federal Taxation | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| soto v. united states· 2024 The Court considered a civil rights issue but did not issue a substantive ruling, as the case was dismissed. | Civil Rights | 72% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| martin v. united states· 2024 The Court considered whether the Double Jeopardy Clause bars retrial for an offense when a jury has previously acquitted the defendant of a different offense based on the same conduct, ruling that it does not. | Economic Activity | 71% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| smith & wesson brands v. estados unidos mexicanos· 2024 The Court considered whether the Protection of Lawful Commerce in Arms Act (PLCAA) bars a lawsuit by Mexico against U.S. gun manufacturers, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| ames v. ohio department of youth services· 2024 The Supreme Court considered a civil rights issue, but the specific question presented and how the Court ruled are not confidently known. | Civil Rights | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| laboratory corporation of america holdings v. davis· 2024 The Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted, leaving the lower court's judgment undisturbed. | Judicial Power | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| cc/devas (mauritius) limited v. antrix corp. ltd.· 2024 The Court considered whether a foreign arbitration award could be enforced against an Indian government company, but the case was dismissed. | Judicial Power | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| blom bank sal v. honickman· 2024 The Court considered whether the Second Circuit erred in holding that 28 U.S.C. 1782(a) does not authorize discovery for use in private commercial arbitrations, but the case was dismissed. | Judicial Power | 72% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| catholic charities bureau v. wisconsin labor & industry review commission· 2024 The Court considered whether the First Amendment exempts religious organizations from generally applicable labor laws, ruling that it does not. | First Amendment | 78% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| seven county infastructure coalition v. eagle county, colorado· 2024 The Court considered a dispute regarding economic activity, but the specific question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently ascertainable. | Economic Activity | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| oklahoma statewide charter school board v. drummond· 2024 The Supreme Court denied certiorari in a case concerning the establishment of a religious charter school, leaving lower court decisions undisturbed. | — | 1% | Respondent | Respondent | ✓ |
| kousisis v. united states· 2024 The Court considered a criminal procedure issue but did not issue a merits decision, instead dismissing the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| barnes v. felix· 2024 The Court considered a criminal procedure issue, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently available. | Criminal Procedure | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| feliciano v. department of transportation· 2024 The Court considered a case related to economic activity, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently available. | Economic Activity | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| advocate christ medical center v. kennedy· 2024 The Court considered whether a church-affiliated hospital's pension plan was exempt from ERISA, ruling that it was not. | Economic Activity | 66% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| velazquez v. bondi· 2024 The Court considered a civil rights issue but no specific ruling or question presented is available, so the details of the case outcome are uncertain. | Civil Rights | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| cunningham v. cornell university· 2024 The Court decided a case about economic activity, but the specific question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently known. | Economic Activity | 72% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| medical marijuana, inc. v. horn· 2024 The Court decided a case about economic activity, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently available. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| fda v. wages and white lion investments, llc· 2024 The Supreme Court considered the FDA's regulation of tobacco products, specifically premium cigars, and ruled on the scope of the agency's authority. | Economic Activity | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| united states v. miller· 2024 The Court considered the scope of federal regulatory power over economic activity, ruling on the constitutionality of a specific federal statute. | Economic Activity | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| bondi v. vanderstok· 2024 The Supreme Court considered a challenge to a federal regulation defining 'frame or receiver' for firearms, but the Court vacated the Fifth Circuit's judgment and remanded the case for further consideration. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| thompson v. united states· 2024 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently available. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| delligatti v. united states· 2024 The Court considered a criminal procedure issue, but I am not confident in the specifics of the question presented or the Court's ruling. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| bufkin v. collins· 2024 The Court decided a case about judicial power, but the specifics of the question presented and ruling are not confidently available. | Judicial Power | 75% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| city and county of san francisco v. environmental protection agency· 2024 The Court decided a case about economic activity, but the specifics of the question presented and ruling are not confidently available. | Economic Activity | 79% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| dewberry group v. dewberry engineers· 2024 The Supreme Court was asked to consider a case regarding economic activity, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently available. | Economic Activity | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| waetzig v. halliburton energy services· 2024 The Court considered whether a federal court could abstain from exercising jurisdiction over a case involving state law claims, but the case was dismissed before a ruling on the merits. | Judicial Power | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| lackey v. stinnie· 2024 The Court decided a case about attorneys, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently known. | Attorneys | 82% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| glossip v. oklahoma· 2024 The Court ruled on whether Oklahoma's lethal injection protocol violated the Eighth Amendment, holding that the petitioners failed to establish a viable alternative method of execution. | Due Process | 71% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| republic of hungary v. simon· 2024 The Court decided a case involving the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act and claims related to property taken during the Holocaust. | Economic Activity | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| williams v. reed· 2024 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently available. | Criminal Procedure | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| wisconsin bell v. u.s., ex rel. todd heath· 2024 The Court considered whether the False Claims Act's scienter element requires proof that a defendant knew its conduct violated an authoritative government interpretation, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| andrew v. white· 2024 The Court decided a case about criminal procedure, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not confidently available. | Criminal Procedure | 78% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| tiktok, inc. v. garland· 2024 The Court considered whether a law banning TikTok violated the First Amendment, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | First Amendment | 74% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| e.m.d. sales v. carrera· 2024 The Court considered whether a state law prohibiting employers from requiring employees to attend meetings about unionization was preempted by the National Labor Relations Act, but the case was dismissed. | Unions | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| royal canin u.s.a., inc. v. wullschleger· 2024 The Court was asked to consider whether a federal court could exercise jurisdiction over a state-law claim for damages against a foreign sovereign, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Economic Activity | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| nvidia corp. v. e. ohman j:or fonder ab· 2024 The Court considered the scope of judicial power regarding securities class actions but did not issue a substantive ruling on the merits. | Judicial Power | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| bouarfa v. mayorkas· 2024 The Court considered whether 8 U.S.C. 1252(a)(2)(D) allows for the review of a question of law or fact, but I am not confident of the specifics of the Court's ruling. | Judicial Power | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| facebook v. amalgamated bank· 2024 The Court decided a case about judicial power, specifically concerning the scope of federal court jurisdiction over certain disputes. | Judicial Power | 66% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| hamm v. smith· 2024 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specific question presented and ruling are not confidently available. | Criminal Procedure | 78% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| trump v. united states· 2023 The Court decided whether and to what extent a former President enjoys presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for conduct alleged to involve official acts during his tenure in office. | Criminal Procedure | 57% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| moody v. netchoice, llc· 2023 The Court held that the NetChoice plaintiffs lacked standing to challenge the Florida law, vacating the Eleventh Circuit's injunction. | First Amendment | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| corner post v. board of governors of the federal reserve system· 2023 The Court ruled that the six-year statute of limitations for challenging agency rules under the Administrative Procedure Act begins when the rule is applied to the plaintiff. | Economic Activity | 71% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| loper bright enterprises v. raimondo· 2023 The Court considered whether to overrule Chevron deference, but the case was dismissed as improvidently granted, leaving Chevron deference intact. | Economic Activity | 75% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| city of grants pass, oregon v. johnson· 2023 The Supreme Court heard arguments on whether the Eighth Amendment prevents cities from punishing homeless individuals for sleeping outside when no shelter is available, but has not yet issued a ruling. | Criminal Procedure | 79% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| fischer v. united states· 2023 The Court decided a criminal procedure case, but the specifics of the question presented and the Court's ruling are not yet available. | Criminal Procedure | 80% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| harrington v. purdue pharma l.p.· 2023 The Court considered the legality of Purdue Pharma's bankruptcy plan, which included releases for the Sackler family, and ruled to allow the plan to proceed. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| ohio v. environmental protection agency· 2023 The Supreme Court considered a challenge to the EPA's authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from power plants, but ultimately dismissed the case as moot. | Economic Activity | 59% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| securities and exchange commission v. jarkesy· 2023 The Court decided whether the SEC administrative law judges' statutory removal protections were constitutional, ruling that they were not. | Economic Activity | 77% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| moyle v. united states· 2023 The Court considered the scope of privacy rights in digital communications, ruling on the government's access to encrypted data. | Privacy | 76% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| snyder v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether 18 U.S.C. 666(a)(1)(B) requires the government to prove that a bribe of a state or local official was paid with a purpose to influence an organization that receives federal funds, but the Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| murthy v. missouri· 2023 The Supreme Court considered whether government officials coerced social-media companies to suppress speech, but the Court ruled that the plaintiffs lacked standing to sue. | Judicial Power | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| united states v. rahimi· 2023 The Court ruled that 18 U.S.C. 922(g)(8), which prohibits firearm possession for individuals subject to domestic violence restraining orders, does not violate the Second Amendment. | Criminal Procedure | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| department of state v. muã±oz· 2023 The Court held that a U.S. citizen does not have a fundamental liberty interest in their noncitizen spouse being admitted to the U.S., reversing the Ninth Circuit. | Civil Rights | 81% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| smith v. arizona· 2023 The Court considered a criminal procedure issue but did not issue a merits decision, dismissing the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted. | Criminal Procedure | 69% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| erlinger v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether a jury must find facts supporting a U.S. Sentencing Guidelines enhancement, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Criminal Procedure | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| texas v. new mexico and colorado· 2023 The Court addressed a dispute among Texas, New Mexico, and Colorado over water rights to the Pecos River, ruling on the equitable apportionment of the river's waters. | Interstate Relations | 54% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| diaz v. united states· 2023 The Court decided whether Federal Rule of Evidence 702 requires a district court to make an express finding that the expert's testimony was based on sufficient facts or data, and the Court ruled that it does not. | Criminal Procedure | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| chiaverini v. city of napoleon, ohio· 2023 The Court considered whether a plaintiff could challenge a malicious prosecution claim when charges were dropped, but did not issue a ruling on the merits. | Civil Rights | 69% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| moore v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether the Sixteenth Amendment authorizes Congress to tax unrealized sums without apportionment among the states, but did not rule on the question. | Federal Taxation | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| gonzalez v. trevino· 2023 The Court vacated and remanded to determine if the alleged retaliatory arrest of a city councilman for criticizing the mayor violated the First Amendment. | First Amendment | 72% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| office of the u.s. trustee v. john q. hammons fall 2006, llc· 2023 The Court held that the increase in U.S. Trustee fees, enacted in 2017, could not be applied to existing Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases filed before the effective date of the fee increase. | Economic Activity | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| garland v. cargill· 2023 The Court ruled that the ATF exceeded its statutory authority by classifying bump stocks as machineguns. | Criminal Procedure | 65% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| campos-chaves v. garland· 2023 The Court ruled that a single-document notice to appear for a removal hearing is not required to establish jurisdiction, reversing the Ninth Circuit. | Civil Rights | 67% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| food and drug administration v. alliance for hippocratic medicine· 2023 The Supreme Court ruled that the Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine lacked standing to challenge the FDA's regulation of mifepristone, reversing the Fifth Circuit's decision. | Privacy | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| vidal v. elster· 2023 The Court ruled that the First Amendment did not prohibit the government from refusing to register a trademark that uses a person's name without their consent. | First Amendment | 47% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| starbucks corp. v. mckinney· 2023 The Court ruled that federal courts must apply the traditional four-factor test for preliminary injunctions when considering National Labor Relations Board requests under NLRA Section 10(j). | Unions | 57% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| truck insurance exchange v. kaiser gypsum company· 2023 The Court held that a debtor's right to appeal a bankruptcy court's order denying confirmation of a reorganization plan is not mooted by the debtor's post-judgment sale of its assets. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| connelly v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether the proceeds of a life insurance policy funding a stock redemption agreement should be included in the value of the decedent's shares for estate tax purposes, ruling that they should. | Federal Taxation | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| becerra v. san carlos apache tribe· 2023 The Court ruled that the Indian Health Service must pay contract support costs to tribes that administer healthcare programs, even if those costs exceed the IHS's congressional appropriations. | Civil Rights | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| cantero v. bank of america· 2023 The Court considered whether the National Bank Act preempted state law claims regarding mortgage escrow accounts, ruling that federal law did not preempt the state law. | Federalism | 60% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| national rifle association of america v. vullo· 2023 The Court considered whether government officials coerced regulated entities to punish the NRA for its protected speech, but the case was settled and dismissed before a ruling. | First Amendment | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| thornell v. jones· 2023 The Court ruled that the Fifth Circuit erred in granting habeas relief by failing to afford the state court's decision the deference required by AEDPA. | Criminal Procedure | 81% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| alexander v. south carolina state conference of the naacp· 2023 The Court held that the South Carolina General Assembly's redistricting plan for congressional districts was not an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. | Civil Rights | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| coinbase v. suski· 2023 The Court ruled that the Ninth Circuit did not err in determining that the question of who decides arbitrability depends on the arbitration agreement's specific language. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| brown v. united states· 2023 The Court considered whether a federal defendant who pleads guilty preserves an appellate claim that the indictment fails to state an offense if the defendant did not raise the objection before pleading guilty. The Court ruled that such a claim is not preserved. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| smith v. spizzirri· 2023 The Court ruled that federal courts must send a case to arbitration even if the court finds the arbitration agreement is unenforceable. | Unions | 60% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| harrow v. department of defense· 2023 The Court considered whether the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit's filing deadline for appealing Merit Systems Protection Board decisions is jurisdictional, ruling it is not. | Judicial Power | 57% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| consumer financial protection bureau v. community financial services association of america, limited· 2023 The Court ruled that the CFPB's funding mechanism, drawing from the Federal Reserve, does not violate the Appropriations Clause. | Miscellaneous | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| culley v. marshall· 2023 The Court ruled that due process does not require a separate preliminary hearing for innocent owner claims in civil forfeiture cases. | Due Process | 67% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| warner chappell music v. neal· 2023 The Court considered whether the “discovery rule” applies to copyright claims, but did not rule on the merits, instead vacating and remanding for lack of jurisdiction. | Economic Activity | 60% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| muldrow v. city of st. louis, missouri· 2023 The Supreme Court considered whether the Eighth Circuit's test for showing an adverse employment action in Title VII cases was correct, ruling that a plaintiff need only show some harm from a discriminatory job transfer. | Civil Rights | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mcintosh v. united states· 2023 The Court held that a federal prisoner seeking to challenge the calculation of their sentence under 28 U.S.C. 2241 must do so within the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996's one-year statute of limitations. | Criminal Procedure | 60% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| rudisill v. mcdonough· 2023 The Court ruled that a veteran who had received educational assistance under one GI Bill program could also receive assistance under a different GI Bill program, reversing the lower court's decision. | Civil Rights | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| devillier v. texas· 2023 The Court considered whether property owners can seek just compensation under the Fifth Amendment for property taken without formal condemnation proceedings, but did not issue a ruling on the merits. | Due Process | 69% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| sheetz v. county of el dorado, california· 2023 The Court held that a traffic impact fee imposed as a condition for a residential building permit was a "taking" under the Fifth Amendment, even if legislatively imposed. | Due Process | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| macquarie infrastructure corp. v. moab partners, l.p.· 2023 The Court held that an omission alone is insufficient to state a claim under Exchange Act Rule 10b-5(b), which requires an untrue statement of material fact. | Economic Activity | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| bissonnette v. lepage bakeries park st., llc· 2023 The Court considered whether a state law claim for unpaid wages under state law was preempted by the Labor Management Relations Act, but the case was dismissed. | Unions | 63% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| wilkinson v. garland· 2023 The Court ruled that federal courts can review Board of Immigration Appeals decisions regarding equitable tolling of the 90-day deadline for filing a motion to reopen, reversing the lower court. | Civil Rights | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| federal bureau of investigation v. fikre· 2023 The Court considered whether a lawsuit seeking to remove an individual from the No-Fly List became moot once the government removed him, ruling it did. | Judicial Power | 70% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| pulsifer v. united states· 2023 The Court held that a defendant's prior uncounseled misdemeanor convictions, if they did not result in imprisonment, cannot be used to enhance a subsequent sentence under the Armed Career Criminal Act. | Criminal Procedure | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| o'connor-ratcliff v. garnier· 2023 The Court considered whether public officials' social media activity constituted state action, but the case was dismissed as improvidently granted. | First Amendment | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| lindke v. freed· 2023 The Court ruled that a public official's social media activity is state action under Section 1983 only if they possess state authority and exercise it to fulfill a governmental responsibility. | First Amendment | 71% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| trump v. anderson· 2023 The Court ruled that states cannot disqualify presidential candidates under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment, reversing Colorado's decision to remove Trump from the ballot. | Civil Rights | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| mcelrath v. georgia· 2023 The Court ruled that the Double Jeopardy Clause prevents a state from retrying a defendant for an offense after an acquittal, even if the acquittal is inconsistent with a conviction on another charge. | Criminal Procedure | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| great lakes insurance se v. raiders retreat realty co., llc· 2023 The Court held that federal courts have admiralty jurisdiction over a marine insurance contract dispute, even if the dispute involves a non-maritime issue. | Private Action | 53% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| murray v. ubs securities, llc· 2023 The Court considered the evidentiary standard for whistleblower retaliation claims under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, ruling that plaintiffs need not prove their employer acted with retaliatory intent. | Civil Rights | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| department of agriculture rural development rural housing service v. kirtz· 2023 The Court held that the federal government waived its sovereign immunity under the Privacy Act when a plaintiff seeks actual damages for the government's failure to maintain accurate records. | Economic Activity | 60% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| acheson hotels, llc v. laufer· 2023 The Court dismissed as moot a case about Article III standing for ADA testers, declining to rule on whether such testers have standing to sue for informational injuries. | Judicial Power | 67% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| 303 creative llc v. elenis· 2022 The Court ruled that a graphic designer has a First Amendment right to refuse to create websites for same-sex weddings, despite a state anti-discrimination law. | Civil Rights | 83% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| biden v. nebraska· 2022 The Court ruled that the Biden administration's student loan forgiveness plan exceeded its authority under the HEROES Act, thereby striking down the program. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| department of education v. brown· 2022 The Court considered whether the Department of Education had the statutory authority to establish a student loan forgiveness program, ruling that it did not. | Judicial Power | 49% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| students for fair admissions inc. v. president & fellows of harvard college· 2022 The Court ruled that Harvard and UNC's race-conscious admissions programs violated the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. | Civil Rights | 55% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| groff v. dejoy· 2022 The Court ruled that to deny a religious accommodation, an employer must show that the burden of granting an accommodation would result in substantial increased costs in relation to the conduct of its particular business. | Civil Rights | 82% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| abitron austria gmbh v. hetronic int'l· 2022 The Court considered the extraterritorial reach of Section 43(a) of the Lanham Act, ruling that it does not apply to foreign infringements when the infringing conduct occurred abroad. | Economic Activity | 40% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| mallory v. norfolk southern railway co.· 2022 The Court ruled that the Pennsylvania courts had personal jurisdiction over Norfolk Southern because the company registered to do business there, thereby consenting to jurisdiction. | Due Process | 48% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| moore v. harper· 2022 The Court ruled that the North Carolina Supreme Court did not err in striking down the congressional map drawn by the state legislature. | Civil Rights | 77% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| counterman v. colorado· 2022 The Court ruled that to convict a defendant for making true threats, the state must prove the defendant had some subjective understanding of the threatening nature of their statements, overturning the conviction of a man who sent harassing messages. | First Amendment | 57% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| samia v. united states· 2022 The Court ruled that the Confrontation Clause is not violated by the admission of a codefendant's redacted out-of-court statement. | Criminal Procedure | 62% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| united states v. hansen· 2022 The Court unanimously held that the federal ban on encouraging illegal immigration, 8 U.S.C. § 1324(a)(1)(A)(iv), was not unconstitutionally overbroad under the First Amendment. | First Amendment | 76% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| coinbase, inc. v. bielski· 2022 The Court ruled that a district court must stay its proceedings when an appeal is taken from the denial of a motion to compel arbitration. | Economic Activity | 41% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| united states v. texas· 2022 The Court decided whether Texas and Louisiana had Article III standing to challenge the Department of Homeland Security's immigration enforcement guidelines, ruling they did not. | Judicial Power | 49% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| pugin v. garland· 2022 The Court ruled that a defendant's prior conviction for a felony involving the use or carrying of a firearm is not a "violent felony" under the Armed Career Criminal Act. | Civil Rights | 58% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| arizona v. navajo nation· 2022 The Supreme Court ruled that the 1868 Treaty with the Navajo Nation did not require the United States to take affirmative steps to secure water for the Navajo Nation. | Civil Rights | 74% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| jones v. hendrix· 2022 The Court held that a federal prisoner could not bring a second or successive habeas petition to challenge his sentence based on a new interpretation of a statute. | Criminal Procedure | 49% | Respondent | Respondent | ✓ |
| yegiazaryan v. smagin· 2022 The Court declined to hear a case regarding the enforceability of an oral contract for a share in a business venture, leaving lower court rulings undisturbed. | Economic Activity | 46% | Respondent | Respondent | ✓ |
| lora v. united states· 2022 The Court held that 18 U.S.C. 924(c)(1)(D)(ii) does not require a consecutive sentence for a defendant who is already subject to a mandatory consecutive sentence. | Criminal Procedure | 46% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| u.s., ex rel. polansky v. executive health resources· 2022 The Court decided whether the government can dismiss a False Claims Act qui tam action after initially declining to intervene, ruling that it can. | Economic Activity | 43% | Respondent | Respondent | ✓ |
| lac du flambeau band of lake superior chippewa indians v. coughlin· 2022 The Court considered whether the doctrine of tribal sovereign immunity extends to private commercial activity, but the case was dismissed before a ruling. | Economic Activity | 59% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| smith v. united states· 2022 The Court decided whether the federal 'felon-in-possession' statute requires the government to prove a defendant knew their firearm was a weapon, ruling it does not. | Criminal Procedure | 61% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| haaland v. brackeen· 2022 The Court upheld the Indian Child Welfare Act's provisions concerning the placement of Native American children in adoption and foster care, rejecting challenges to its constitutionality. | Civil Rights | 75% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| health and hospital corporation of marion county, indiana v. talevski· 2022 The Court ruled that Medicaid Act's anti-discrimination and patient-safety provisions allow private lawsuits to enforce those rights. | Civil Rights | 74% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| allen v. milligan· 2022 The Court affirmed the district court's finding that Alabama's 2021 congressional map likely violated Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. | Civil Rights | 61% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| jack daniels properties v. vip products llc· 2022 The Court ruled that a parody dog toy was not exempt from trademark infringement claims as an expressive work, reversing the Ninth Circuit. | Economic Activity | 53% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| dubin v. united states· 2022 The Court held that 18 U.S.C. 1035(a)(1) requires that the false statement be material to the charged healthcare fraud, reversing the Fifth Circuit. | Criminal Procedure | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| slack technologies v. pirani· 2022 The Court considered whether purchasers of direct and registered shares have standing to sue under Section 11 of the Securities Act of 1933, but did not rule on the merits. | Economic Activity | 56% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| glacier northwest v. int'l brotherhood of teamsters· 2022 The Court ruled that the National Labor Relations Act did not protect the union from state tort liability for intentionally destroying the employer's property during a strike. | Unions | 64% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| united states ex rel. schutte v. supervalu inc.· 2022 The Court ruled that a defendant's contemporaneous subjective understanding of the meaning of a phrase was relevant to whether they knowingly made a false claim. | Economic Activity | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| tyler v. hennepin county, minnesota· 2022 The Court unanimously ruled that Hennepin County violated the Fifth Amendment's Takings Clause by retaining the surplus from a tax foreclosure sale. | Due Process | 70% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| sackett v. environmental protection agency· 2022 The Court unanimously ruled that the Ninth Circuit erred by using the "significant nexus" test to determine if wetlands are "waters of the United States" under the Clean Water Act. | Economic Activity | 61% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| dupree v. younger· 2022 The Court held that a party does not forfeit an affirmative defense by failing to reassert it in response to a motion for summary judgment. | Judicial Power | 57% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| calcutt v. fdic· 2022 The Court decided a case about the economic activity, specifically regarding the powers of the FDIC. | Economic Activity | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| twitter v. taamneh· 2022 The Court ruled that providing general support to a terrorist organization, without directly aiding a specific act of terrorism, was not sufficient to establish liability under the Anti-Terrorism Act. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| amgen inc. v. sanofi· 2022 The Court considered whether Amgen's antibody patents for lowering cholesterol met the enablement requirement, ruling that they did not enable a person skilled in the art to make and use the full scope of the claims. | Economic Activity | 58% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| andy warhol foundation for the visual arts v. goldsmith· 2022 The Court ruled that Andy Warhol's use of a photograph to create a series of silkscreen prints was not fair use, reversing the Second Circuit's decision. | Economic Activity | 65% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| gonzalez v. google llc· 2022 The Court vacated and remanded on the question of whether Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act immunizes interactive computer services when they make targeted recommendations of information provided by another information content provider, finding the issue was not properly before them. | Economic Activity | 60% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| polselli v. internal revenue service· 2022 The Court decided whether 26 U.S.C. 6320 and 6330 require the IRS to provide a non-custodial spouse with a CDP hearing when the IRS levies property to satisfy the other spouse's tax debt, ruling that it does not. | Federal Taxation | 59% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| ohio adjutant generalâs department v. federal labor relations authority· 2022 The Court considered whether the Federal Labor Relations Authority had jurisdiction over state National Guard civilian technicians, ruling it did not. | Unions | 60% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| financial oversight and management bd for puerto rico v. centro de periodismo investigativo· 2022 The Court dismissed the writ of certiorari as improvidently granted, leaving undisturbed the First Circuit's judgment regarding the Financial Oversight and Management Board's transparency obligations. | Miscellaneous | 68% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| percoco v. united states· 2022 The Court considered whether a private citizen can be convicted of honest-services wire fraud for defrauding the public, ruling that they cannot. | Criminal Procedure | 52% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| ciminelli v. united states· 2022 The Court considered whether the Second Circuit's 'right to control' theory of fraud could sustain a conviction under federal fraud statutes, ruling that it could not. | Criminal Procedure | 52% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| santos-zacaria v. garland· 2022 The Court considered whether the Fifth Circuit erred in reviewing an immigration agency's factual findings, ruling that the court of appeals lacked jurisdiction to review the petitioner's claims. | Civil Rights | 66% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| national pork producers council v. ross· 2022 The Court affirmed the Ninth Circuit, ruling that the dormant Commerce Clause did not bar California from enforcing Proposition 12, which bans the sale of pork from pigs confined in a cruel manner. | Economic Activity | 49% | Respondent | Respondent | ✓ |
| reed v. goertz· 2022 The Court held that the federal courts should abstain from exercising jurisdiction over a state prisoner's Section 1983 claim challenging the state's post-conviction DNA testing procedures. | Criminal Procedure | 49% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| moac mall holdings llc v. transform holdco llc· 2022 The Court ruled that a bankruptcy court's order under 11 U.S.C. 363(m) is not jurisdictional, allowing an appeal to proceed despite the lack of a stay. | Economic Activity | 57% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| turkiye halk bankasi a.s. v. united states· 2022 The Court considered whether U.S. courts have jurisdiction over criminal prosecutions of foreign sovereigns, but did not reach a definitive ruling on the merits. | Criminal Procedure | 59% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| new york v. new jersey· 2022 The Court dismissed New York's complaint against New Jersey regarding the Waterfront Commission Compact as improvidently granted, leaving the compact's future uncertain. | Interstate Relations | 45% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| axon enterprise v. federal trade commission· 2022 The Court ruled that district courts have jurisdiction over constitutional challenges to the FTC's structure or existence, not the agency's administrative process. | Judicial Power | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| wilkins v. united states· 2022 The Court decided whether the Quiet Title Act's 12-year statute of limitations is a jurisdictional rule or a claim-processing rule, ruling it is a claim-processing rule. | Economic Activity | 40% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| perez v. sturgis public schools· 2022 The Court ruled that the exhaustion requirement of the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) does not apply to claims seeking only monetary damages. | Civil Rights | 58% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| bittner v. united states· 2022 The Court ruled that a nonwillful failure to file a Foreign Bank Account Report (FBAR) is subject to a single penalty per form, not per account. | Federal Taxation | 46% | Respondent | Petitioner | ✗ |
| delaware v. pennsylvania and wisconsin· 2022 The Court held that unclaimed funds from MoneyGram's official checks and similar instruments are subject to the 1974 Federal Disposition Act, which assigns them to the state where the instrument was purchased. | Interstate Relations | 45% | Respondent | Respondent | ✓ |
| cruz v. arizona· 2022 The Court considered whether Arizona courts must apply federal law to review a capital defendant's claim of intellectual disability, but the case was dismissed. | Federalism | 53% | Petitioner | Petitioner | ✓ |
| helix energy solutions group v. hewitt· 2022 The Supreme Court held that the Fair Labor Standards Act's exemption for highly compensated employees does not apply to employees paid on a daily basis, regardless of their total annual compensation. | Unions | 79% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| bartenwerfer v. buckley· 2022 The Court held that a debt for money or property obtained by fraud is nondischargeable in bankruptcy, even if the debtor did not personally commit the fraud. | Economic Activity | 64% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| in re grand jury· 2022 The Supreme Court considered whether a grand jury subpoena for documents that contain both privileged and unprivileged information must be quashed or if the information must be produced, but the Court dismissed the case as improvidently granted. | — | 63% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
| arellano v. mcdonough· 2022 The Court decided a case about the legal subject of civil rights. | Civil Rights | 72% | Petitioner | Respondent | ✗ |
How the model is built and its full 1970–2025 record: SCOTUS — the record. Frozen prediction trajectories for every decided case: lookbacks. Data as of 2026-09-30.