Who is forecasted today to win the Colorado governor's race?
Updated Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 7 days to Election Day · VotePredictor
Phil Weiser is favored. The VotePredictor forecast gives Weiser a 78% chance of beating Victor Marx, with a predicted margin of Weiser +10.7. That is a Lean D race: Weiser wins about three times in four, and Marx in the other 22%.
What the forecast is built on
No public poll of this race exists, so the forecast is built on fundamentals: the state's presidential lean (D+12.2), incumbency, the last result (Democrats +19.3 in 2022), and the national environment. It predicts Weiser +10.7.
How the forecast has moved
| Date | Weiser's chance | Predicted margin |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | 78% | Weiser +10.7 |
| Oct 27 (today) | 78% | Weiser +10.7 |
What everyone else says
Rating shops
| Forecaster | Rating | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid D | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| Fox News | Solid D | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| NBC News | Solid D | Oct 26, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics | Solid D | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Solid D | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin | Solid D | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Likely D | Oct. 23, 2026 |
All 8 rating shops favor Weiser.
Can you trust this forecast?
Every VotePredictor forecast is scored after the election against the same outcomes as everyone else's. Across 615 past races (Senate, governor, House and president), our final forecasts rank #2 of every forecaster that covered them all (Brier score 0.075, lower is better); FiveThirtyEight is first at 0.074. The full record is on the forecaster rankings and methodology pages.
This article is regenerated every day from the VotePredictor forecast, the poll database, the prediction markets and the rating shops' latest published ratings. Live numbers are on the race page.