Democratic
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
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California District 40 election, 2026
Democratic nominee TBD vs. Republican nominee TBD on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Republican favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+6.8
88%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+12.62026 national environment
D+6.5District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed republican candidates: Ken Calvert, Young Kim.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-40. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-40; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗