Democratic
Frank Mrvan
Incumbent representative for IN-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Frank Mrvan favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+13.4
97%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+2.32026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Barb Regnitz
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IN-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IN-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
House Progressive Chair Says 'Every Single Cent' of Trump Tariff Refunds Should Go to Consumers
Congressional Progressive Caucus Chair Greg Casar (D-Texas) said on Monday that "every single cent" of the refunds for President Donald Trump's illegal tariffs should go to consumers who bore the brunt of the financial strain rather than the large corporation…
Common Dreams · August 3, 2026
Dem confronts Commerce Secretary for laughing at union job losses
Rep. Frank Mrvan (D-IN) confronted Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick during a House Appropriations Committee hearing on Thursday, after Lutnick appeared to laugh while discussing job losses affecting Mrvan's Indiana district. Mrvan described British Petroleum…
Raw Story · April 23, 2026
Trump dealt major blow as Indiana Senate rejects redistricting map that would’ve added 2 GOP House seats
President Donald Trump suffered a major political setback on Thursday in his push to pass congressional redistricting in red states. After months of arm-twisting by the president, top allies and aligned groups, the Indiana Senate voted down a new map champion…
Freerepublic.com · December 11, 2025
Indiana House Republicans Pass Map Wiping Out All Democratic Seats
Donald Trump’s attempt to nab more Republican congressional seats and keep his party in control of Congress just got a boost Friday when Indiana’s House of Representatives passed a new legislative map.The new map, which seeks to give Republicans control of al…
The New Republic · December 5, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗