Ohio District 4 election, 2026

Joshua Kolasinski vs. Jim Jordan on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast

Jim Jordan favored

Safe R · predicted margin R+43.2

100%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+43.0

2026 national environment

D+5.5

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Joshua Kolasinski

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Jim Jordan

Incumbent representative for OH-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →

Other listed candidates

Tracey Tackett · Independent
Tamie Wilson · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OH-4. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Candidate news

Rep. Jim Jordan is meddling in South Korea’s war on disinformation

Republicans, members of the so-called “America First” party, claim to be laser-focused on the issues that matter to everyday Americans as the midterm elections approach. And what does that mean to Ohio Republican Rep. Jim Jordan, chairman of the House Judici…

Biztoc.com · Yesterday

Trump-Endorsed Congressman 'MAGA' Jim Jordan Endorses Michael Carbonara for Congress in Florida's 22nd Congressional District

The House Judiciary Chairman and Freedom Caucus co-founder backs the America First businessman ahead of the August 18 Republican primary. WESTON, Fla., Aug. 7, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Carbonara for Congress today announced that Congressman Jim Jordan of Ohio has…

PRNewswire · Yesterday

What Max Miller’s Abuse Reveals About The GOP Epstein Class

The GOP has a Max Miller problem it can’t look away from anymore. Ohio Republican Rep. Max Miller’s former wife, Emily Moreno, accused him in court filings and a recorded police interview of holding a gun to her head, throwing scalding water at her, and other…

Crooksandliars.com · August 5, 2026

Florida AG Calls For Impeachment Inquiry Into Biden Judge Over Past SPLC Ties

Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier is calling on Congress to launch an impeachment inquiry into a Biden-appointed federal judge over her past role working for the now-indicted Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC). In his Monday letter addressed to House Sp…

The Federalist · August 4, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: OH-3 · OH-5