Democratic
John Vincent
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Russell Fry favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+24.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Russell Fry
Incumbent representative for SC-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for SC-7. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for SC-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
First showdown in race for Lindsey Graham's Senate seat puts GOP hopefuls to the test
Darline Graham, Ralph Norman, Russell Fry, and Mark Sanford share the debate stage Monday in the South Carolina Senate race for the vacant seat.
Fox News · August 3, 2026
Trump may have endorsed Darline Graham, but GOP Senate hopefuls aren’t backing down
Trump's endorsement of Darline Graham faces a major test as Russell Fry, Ralph Norman, and others jump into the South Carolina GOP Senate nomination race.
Fox News · July 21, 2026
Three Keys to a Democratic Victory in Maine
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · July 21, 2026
'What the hell are we doing?' Trump endorsement leaves GOP seething in Senate seat battle
Donald Trump's decision to leap into the conversation over who should be the Republican nominee for the Senate seat left open by Lindsey Graham's death has the GOP leadership in South Carolina fuming.According to a report from Politico, the president's sway a…
Raw Story · July 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗