Democratic
John Vincent
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Russell Fry favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+20.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+26.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Russell Fry
Incumbent representative for SC-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for SC-7. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for SC-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in South Carolina's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Russell Fry endorses ex-rival Darline Graham after failing to advance to special GOP US Senate primary runoff
Rep. Russell Fry, who placed third in the South Carolina special GOP U.S. Senate primary, endorsed Sen. Darline Graham ahead of the runoff in which she will face Rep. Ralph Norman.
Fox News · August 17, 2026
Darline Graham Picks Up Another Key Endorsement
Sen. Darline Graham just received another key endorsement in her bid to keep her late brother's seat for a full term . Rep. Russell Fry, who finished third in this week's South Carolina primary, endorsed Graham on Friday in the runoff later this month, per th…
Newser · August 14, 2026
US Rep. Russell Fry endorses Sen. Darline Graham in South Carolina Republican Senate runoff
Congressman Russell Fry says he's supporting Sen. Darline Graham in South Carolina's Republican Senate primary runoff
Abcnews.com · August 14, 2026
Desperate Trump begs nemesis for help amid intra-MAGA infighting
President Donald Trump, rattled by a string of embarrassing primary losses this year, is scrambling to save his endorsed candidate in South Carolina's Senate runoff – and turning to a surprising source for help.Sen. Darline Graham, appointed by Trump to finis…
Raw Story · August 14, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗