VotePredictor
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Tennessee District 6 election, 2026

Mike Croley vs. Johnny Garrett.

VotePredictor forecast
Johnny Garrett favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+13.0
97%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+33.5
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Mike Croley

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Johnny Garrett

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Christopher Monday · Independent
  • Angus Purdy · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TN-6. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TN-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TN-5 · TN-7