Democratic
Claire Reynolds
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Texas District 11 election, 2026
Claire Reynolds vs. August Pfluger on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
August Pfluger favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+28.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+34.82026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
August Pfluger
Incumbent representative for TX-11. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-11. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Texas's 11th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Republicans corner Trump's trade guy behind closed doors as tariffs start to bite
House Republicans confronted U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer behind closed doors Wednesday, pressing him on the economic damage President Trump's escalating trade war with Canada could inflict on their home states — just days before a fresh round of …
Raw Story · September 2, 2026
GOP chairman says WNBA response on Caitlin Clark ‘falls short,’ keeps ‘every option on the table’
Texas lawmaker August Pfluger says the WNBA's response to Congress about Caitlin Clark's treatment dodges specifics, vowing to keep every option on the table.
Fox News · July 29, 2026
GOP Lawmakers Press WNBA Commissioner to Protect Caitlin Clark
The on-court abuse of WNBA superstar Caitlin Clark has reached the halls of Congress. The House Republican Study Committee, led by Chairman August Pfluger, R-Texas, sent a letter last week to WNBA Commissioner Cathy Engelbert, arguing the league has not done …
Daily Signal · July 14, 2026
Politicians Seeking Answers From WNBA Commissioner Cathy Engelbert About Treatment Of Caitlin Clark And ‘Racially Motivated Attacks’ By Other Players
Washington D.C. is getting involved in the Caitlin Clark drama. A group of 11 Republican politicians sent a letter to WNBA commissioner Cathy Engelbert this wek demanding the league take “accountability” for what they described as “multiple attacks” against t…
BroBible · July 9, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗