Democratic
Maurice Mercer
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Alabama District 6 election, 2026
Maurice Mercer vs. Gary Palmer on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Gary Palmer favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+26.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+35.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Gary Palmer
Incumbent representative for AL-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AL-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Gary PalmerREP · incumbent$1.2M raised
Spent $1.2MCash on hand $74k0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$99k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$44k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$38k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$10k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$8k
States
- AL$409k
- TX$46k
- FL$35k
- CA$20k
- GA$15k
Maurice MercerDEM$35k raised
Spent $21kCash on hand $14kDebts $4k32% from donors under $200Self-funded $4k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$7k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$5k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$500
States
- AL$8k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AL-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Stampede of GOP blunders has achieved the unimaginable — given Dems a grasp on Alabama
There’s a hypothesis I can’t shake after years of observations.Alabama Republicans are getting bad at politics.So far, that hasn’t threatened their hegemony. The party controls all state offices; holds seven of the state’s nine congressional seats and enjoys …
Raw Story · July 27, 2026
“You Will Kill Me”: Protester Dragged Out as GOP Debates Medicaid Cuts
Republicans contending with the prospective damage of their Medicaid cuts have decided to simply brush the protests of their constituents as “misinformation.” Members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee went back and forth Tuesday on who exactly would…
The New Republic · May 13, 2025
Congress has questions about 23andMe bankruptcy
Leaders of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce said they are investigating how 23andMe’s bankruptcy might affect customers’ data. Representatives Brett Guthrie, Gus Bilirakis, and Gary Palmer (all Republicans) sent a letter Thursday to the genetic test…
Biztoc.com · April 20, 2025
Congress has questions about 23andMe bankruptcy
3The leaders of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce said they are investigating how 23andMe’s bankruptcy might affect customers’ data. Representatives Brett Guthrie, Gus Bilirakis, and Gary Palmer (all Republicans) sent a letter Thursday to the genetic…
Biztoc.com · April 19, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗