VotePredictor
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California District 13 election, 2026

Adam Gray vs. Kevin Lincoln on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Adam Gray favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+7.3
86%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+0.4
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Kevin Lincoln

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-13. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-13; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CA-12 · CA-14