Democratic
Judy Chu
Incumbent representative for CA-28. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 28 election, 2026
Judy Chu vs. April Verlato on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Judy Chu favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+34.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+26.12026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
April Verlato
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-28. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Judy ChuDEM · incumbent$1.4M raised
Spent $1.3MCash on hand $3.7M27% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$86k
- Not Reported$61k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$50k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$26k
- Legal & Professional Services$19k
States
- CA$743k
- TX$10k
- DC$9k
- KS$7k
- NV$5k
April VerlatoREP$700 raised
Spent $8kCash on hand $65571% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- GOMEZ, JUVENTINO$200
States
- CA$200
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-28; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
The night the Universe got bigger: An event to honor Hubble’s discovery
On the night of Oct. 5, 1923, Edwin Hubble spotted a variable star in Andromeda from Mt. Wilson Observatory above Pasadena, California, proving that our galaxy is just one of countless others in the Universe. Now, California Rep. Judy Chu, co-chair of the Pla…
Omny.fm · November 4, 2026
This Nail-Biter House Race Is All About Bogeymen
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside Washington Republican Mike Lawler and Democrat Cait Conley are in a dead heat for the race i…
The New Republic · October 29, 2026
Disaster Survivors Still Waiting for Billions From Trump Admin
Americans who survived tornados, floods, and wildfires are still waiting on $10 billion in aid from the Trump administration over a year later.A Guardian analysis finds that FEMA has not doled out long-term recovery funds to survivors of the 2025 tornado in S…
The New Republic · October 19, 2026
Pressure Rises on Home Depot to Address ICE Raids at Stores
Pressure is rising on Home Depot to do something—say something—about the raids taking place at its stores. In Washington, DC, over two dozen members of Congress signed a letter to the company in a letter requesting answers about the Immigration and Customs En…
Common Dreams · July 8, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗