Democratic
George T. Whitesides
Incumbent representative for CA-27. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 27 election, 2026
George T. Whitesides vs. Jason Gibbs on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
George T. Whitesides favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+16.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+10.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Jason Gibbs
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-27. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026George T. WhitesidesDEM · incumbent$4.5M raised
Spent $2.7MCash on hand $2.2MDebts $1.3M16% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$946k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$304k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$227k
- Legal & Professional Services$115k
- Education & Academia$91k
States
- CA$1.5M
- NY$292k
- MA$215k
- VA$95k
- CT$76k
Jason GibbsREP$414k raised
Spent $353kCash on hand $60k10% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$71k
- Not Reported$40k
- Technology & Communications$11k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$7k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$6k
States
- CA$373k
- FL$7k
- IL$4k
- KY$1k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-27; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 27th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
The Section 1245 File
Northrop Grumman builds the F-35's center fuselage in Palmdale, California, a district represented by Democrat George Whitesides, who serves on the House Armed Services Committee. In Connecticut, Pratt & Whitney builds the engine, and Democratic Senator Richa…
Biztoc.com · October 26, 2026
White House takes blowtorch to hopes Trump will repay Americans for his self-promoting ads
President Donald Trump refused to reimburse taxpayers for ads promoting his presidency, including a rerun of a 2024 campaign spot, hours after vowing to pay for the ads himself.A White House spokesperson confirmed to the Washington Examiner on Tuesday that Tr…
Raw Story · October 6, 2026
House members beg Mike Johnson to cancel lengthy recess and confront a 'catastrophic risk'
A group of House members is pressing Speaker Mike Johnson to scrap the chamber's looming six-week recess and keep Congress in Washington until it passes safeguards on artificial intelligence, warning of "catastrophic risk posed by advanced artificial intellig…
Raw Story · September 11, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗