VotePredictor
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California District 30 election, 2026

Laura Friedman vs. Scott Meyers on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Laura Friedman favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+47.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+41.4
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Republican

Scott Meyers

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-30. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-30; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in California's 30th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CA-3 · CA-31