Democratic
Laura Friedman
Incumbent representative for CA-30. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 30 election, 2026
Laura Friedman vs. Scott Meyers on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Laura Friedman favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+47.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+41.42026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Scott Meyers
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-30. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Laura FriedmanDEM · incumbent$995k raised
Spent $771kCash on hand $521k6% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$191k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$79k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$42k
- Legal & Professional Services$41k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$22k
States
- CA$493k
- NY$22k
- MT$10k
- NV$8k
- DC$7k
Scott MeyersREP$123k raised
Spent $118kCash on hand $5kDebts $99k2% from donors under $200Self-funded $99k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Legal & Professional Services$5k
- Retired$3k
States
- CA$17k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-30; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 30th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Lawmakers Supporting Federal Film Tax Incentive Form Bipartisan Caucus
Six House members, including Brian Jack (R-Ga.) and Laura Friedman (D-Calif.), team up as they prepare to introduce their bill to Congress The post Lawmakers Supporting Federal Film Tax Incentive Form Bipartisan Caucus appeared first on TheWrap.
TheWrap · September 16, 2026
‘Stunning Admission’: Trump Admin Targeted Democrats by Canceling Clean Energy Grants
President Donald Trump's administration has admitted in court that it chose to cancel certain grants for clean energy projects because they were set to benefit Democratic-voting states.The New York Times reported on Friday that attorneys representing the US D…
Common Dreams · July 24, 2026
Congressman sounds alarm over GOP push to shield private jet owners from taxes
Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) tore into Republicans this week over a measure that would help private jet owners dodge taxes, drawing a pointed contrast with the everyday costs squeezing American households."Gas prices are soaring. Grocery prices are skyrocketing. Util…
Raw Story · June 14, 2026
'MAGA's Weird Obsession' Continues as House Passes Bill Forcing Schools to 'Out' Trans Kids
The Republican-controlled US House of Representatives on Wednesday passed legislation that critics warn would force public schools receiving federal funding to "out" transgender students to their parents without or without their consent, a policy that advocat…
Common Dreams · May 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗