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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Brad Sherman (D) won with 60.3% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+20.6.
Actual result
D+20.6
Final polls said
D+11.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feldman Group | D+25.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Kimball Political Consulting | D+6.0 | 14.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2012-10-2310
Feldman Group2012-10-134
Kimball Political Consulting2012-10-1215
SurveyUSA2012-09-198
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Brad Sherman (D) won, with 60.3% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+20.6, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.