Democratic
Brad Sherman
Incumbent representative for CA-32. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 32 election, 2026
Brad Sherman vs. Larry Thompson on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Brad Sherman favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+40.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+25.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Larry Thompson
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-32. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-32; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Rep. Brad Sherman warns Israel over government policies eroding U.S. support
The California Democrat says West Bank settler violence, far-right minister Ben-Gvir and Israel's failure to invest in global diplomacy are worsening its standing with Americans, warning that could cut off U.S. weapons and diplomatic backing
Haaretz · September 19, 2026
US Representative: 'Ben Gvir in the Cabinet is an existential threat'
Brad Sherman, one of Israel’s most prominent supporters in Congress, warns of a collapse in public support for Israel in the United States.
Israelnationalnews.com · September 19, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel
On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
'Delusional': Critics explode over Trump deal with Saudis that could set off nuclear race
President Donald Trump spurred terror and outrage Wednesday when reports surfaced that he formally approved a sweeping 30-year nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia, worth tens of billions of dollars, that could pave the way for uranium enrichment in the Middle…
Raw Story · July 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗