VotePredictor
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California District 32 election, 2026

Brad Sherman vs. Larry Thompson on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Brad Sherman favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+32.2
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+31.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Larry Thompson

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-32. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-32; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

'Delusional': Critics explode over Trump deal with Saudis that could set off nuclear race

President Donald Trump spurred terror and outrage Wednesday when reports surfaced that he formally approved a sweeping 30-year nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia, worth tens of billions of dollars, that could pave the way for uranium enrichment in the Middle…

Raw Story · July 22, 2026
Perfect Crypto Week In Texas: 6 Candidates Backed, 0 Misses—What To Track Next

Political efforts tied to the crypto industry scored another set of wins in Texas, strengthening the case that the sector’s influence in US politics remains strong under a more pro-digital asset administration.  According to reporting from Eleanor Terret of C…

newsBTC · May 27, 2026
Bitcoin faces a brutal irony as the Treasury refuses to save BTC from its own political success

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Congress he has no authority to bail out Bitcoin. The exchange came during a Senate Banking Committee hearing, when Senator Brad Sherman asked whether the Treasury could intervene to support cryptocurrency prices. Bessent…

CryptoSlate · February 5, 2026
Congressman, 71, Blames Elon For Looking at Dirty Pictures on Plane

Rep. Brad Sherman blamed Elon Musk’s X algorithm for serving him saucy pictures amid a potential scandal involving him scrolling through softcore pornography in public. The 71-year-old California Democrat was photographed looking at pictures of lingerie-clad …

Freerepublic.com · November 17, 2025

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CA-31 · CA-33