VotePredictor
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California District 42 election, 2026

Robert Garcia vs. Brian Burley on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Robert Garcia favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+22.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+13.6
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Brian Burley

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-42. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-42; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Democrats start looking for answers on Donald Trump Jr.’s Russian-paid wedding party

The list of controversies surrounding Donald Trump that congressional Democrats are eager to investigate was already staggering, but the latest addition to the list is of particular interest. Axios reported: [Rep. Robert Garcia of California, the] top Democra…

Biztoc.com · September 15, 2026
250+ Current, Former Lawmakers Urge Supreme Court to Block Trump Attack on Mail Voting

With the midterm elections less than two months away, more than 250 current and former Members of Congress came together on Tuesday to pressure the US Supreme Court to block Republican President Donald Trump's March executive order on voting and its resulting…

Common Dreams · September 8, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation

The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…

The New Republic · September 1, 2026
Melania Trump clobbered by 'bombshell' threat as Epstein investigators close in: expert

Lawyer and journalist Katie Phang warned that Melania Trump tops the subpoena list for lawmakers planning an Epstein probe.Phang is leading a lawsuit against Attorney General Todd Blanche to hold the Trump administration accountable for its obligation to rele…

Raw Story · August 15, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CA-41 · CA-43