VotePredictor
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California District 43 election, 2026

Maxine Waters vs. Cristian Morales on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Maxine Waters favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+55.8
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+49.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Cristian Morales

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-43. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-43; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Children’s charity funded by Singham, Soros tied to Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine: report

A California children’s charity funded by billionaire George Soros stands accused of sending cash which may have ended up in the hands of a Palestinian terrorist organization, according to a new report obtained by The Post. The Berkeley-based Middle East Chil…

Freerepublic.com · July 28, 2026
What’s Going on With the Big Housing Bill, Exactly?

As President Trump holds a popular bipartisan bill hostage, Democrats say that the issue is out of their hands, and that the onus is on Republicans to stand up to the president and get the legislation signed.On Wednesday Trump was set to sign the 21st Century…

The New Republic · June 26, 2026
Dems Celebrate Housing Bill: “We Finally Did Something”

The bipartisan housing bill the House and Senate passed this week doesn’t go far enough, Democratic leaders say. But it’s still one of the most significant pieces of housing legislation passed in decades. Further Democratic goals on housing might have to wait…

The New Republic · June 24, 2026
Congress’ most out-of-it members: seniors who freeze, get bamboozled and even have dementia, yet remain in office

Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) doesn’t think 100 is too old to serve in Congress, as we reported last week. Despite twice being duped by Russian comedians and regularly making little sense, the 87-year-old is hitting the campaign trial once again this year to …

Freerepublic.com · May 20, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CA-42 · CA-44